LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs

$88K Vol
2026年8月28日
Active
概率趋势
Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports 100.0%
Team Phantasma 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 4.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $88K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $82 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 4.5 Games (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 4.5 Games 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Any Player Quadra Kill (1,000%)、Any Player Penta Kill (1,000%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (50%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Any Player Quadra Kill 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$829995¢-9895¢
2O/U 4.5 Games9995.0%$769995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
4Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
5Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%50¢50¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
8Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills50.0%50¢50¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%50¢50¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%50¢50¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%50¢50¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills50.0%50¢50¢
14Game 4 Winner5.0%$2.6K95¢
15Match Winner5.0%$44.6K95¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5.0%95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Phantasma and Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports in the HLL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Phantasma" if Team Phantasma win the match against Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports.

This market will resolve to "Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports" if Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports win the match against Team Phantasma.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 28, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 28, 2026

  • 09:24 AM
    ZIzikkuratti
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.5

  • 09:24 AM
    ZIzikkuratti
    $1.00

    Bought 1.960783 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.51

  • 08:44 AM
    121234567654321
    $5.00

    Bought 8.333332 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs at 0.6

  • 06:48 AM
    Q1q136084
    $6.32

    Bought 10.9 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs at 0.58

  • 06:10 AM
    SOSombieBoldTrader
    $9.19

    Sold 16.41 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs at 0.56

  • 06:10 AM
    SOSombieBoldTrader
    $9.85

    Bought 16.416665 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs at 0.6

  • 06:08 AM
    Q1q136084
    $29.00

    Bought 50 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs at 0.58

  • 05:49 AM
    Q1q136084
    $10.40

    Bought 20 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.52

  • 05:49 AM
    Q1q136084
    $31.20

    Bought 60 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.52

  • 05:47 AM
    Q1q136084
    $21.84

    Bought 42 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.52

  • 05:37 AM
    Q1q136084
    $23.30

    Bought 44.8 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 3 Winner at 0.52

  • 05:28 AM
    Q1q136084
    $14.25

    Bought 27.4 Team Phantasma for LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 3 Winner at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

B51
0xB595…6105
Event PnL
+$69.53
Volume
$6,970.50
Positions
Gamespace Mediterranean College EsportsGamespace Mediterranean College EsportsOver+1
KE2
Kenny4175
Event PnL
-$56.67
Volume
$6,566.55
Positions
Team Phantasma
AO3
aomendushen008
Event PnL
+$63.81
Volume
$4,623.34
Positions
Gamespace Mediterranean College EsportsTeam PhantasmaGamespace Mediterranean College Esports
BR4
Brimoz
Event PnL
-$768.01
Volume
$3,314.09
Positions
Team Phantasma
TR5
Trumplol
Event PnL
-$1,626.54
Volume
$3,217.80
Positions
Team PhantasmaGamespace Mediterranean College Esports
NE6
newwman
Event PnL
+$2,498.76
Volume
$2,946.26
Positions
Team PhantasmaGamespace Mediterranean College EsportsTeam Phantasma
CH7
chenyufei
Event PnL
-$772.17
Volume
$2,574.12
Positions
Team PhantasmaGamespace Mediterranean College EsportsGamespace Mediterranean College Esports+1
TO8
touinyll
Event PnL
-$21.94
Volume
$2,309.91
Positions
Team Phantasma

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 4.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $88K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始