LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$1.9M Vol
2026年8月30日
Active
概率趋势
Team Liquid 100.0%
Shopify Rebellion 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Over 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Under 以 50% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $1.9M,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Over (9,950%):Over 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Under (50%):作为最可行的替代选项,Under 保持着 50% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 50¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Over9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
2Under50.0%50¢50¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between Team Liquid and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Team Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 29, 2026

  • 09:28 PM
    MAmanbo3
    $5.00

    Bought 5.26314 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.95

  • 09:27 PM
    BIbiuser
    $8.91

    Bought 9.37894 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.95

  • 09:27 PM
    BIbiuser
    $4.95

    Bought 5.21052 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.95

  • 09:27 PM
    BIbiuser
    $14.04

    Bought 14.78 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.95

  • 09:27 PM
    BIbiuser
    $4.95

    Bought 5.21052 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.95

  • 09:25 PM
    MAmanbo3
    $1.00

    Bought 1.0101 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 09:24 PM
    MAmanbo3
    $15.26

    Bought 15.41414 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 09:23 PM
    MAmanbo3
    $47.70

    Bought 48.181817 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 09:22 PM
    GTGTCS
    $9.06

    Bought 9.151514 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 09:22 PM
    MAmanbo3
    $28.80

    Bought 29.090908 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 09:21 PM
    MAmanbo3
    $20.62

    Bought 20.828281 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.99

  • 09:11 PM
    BIbiuser
    $62.37

    Bought 63 Shopify Rebellion for First Blood in Game 2? at 0.99

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

F21
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
-$27,115.26
Volume
$450,582.25
Positions
Team LiquidShopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
E22
0xe2D0…6239
Event PnL
-$17,486.45
Volume
$63,079.96
Positions
Team LiquidShopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
AL3
alexdinner
Event PnL
-$17,785.12
Volume
$32,007.29
Positions
Team LiquidShopify Rebellion
BR4
BrotherObama
Event PnL
-$8,999.98
Volume
$24,462.85
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
ZY5
Zywoo123
Event PnL
-$5,329.81
Volume
$23,198.16
Positions
Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
HA6
hanbinlala
Event PnL
-$3,499.61
Volume
$18,598.31
Positions
Team LiquidShopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
BF7
0xbF85…3250
Event PnL
-$150.00
Volume
$14,999.98
Positions
Shopify RebellionShopify RebellionTeam Liquid
OD8
odifipa
Event PnL
+$352.46
Volume
$12,623.00
Positions
Shopify Rebellion

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Over 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Under(50%)。该市场总成交量已达 $1.9M,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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