LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$872.5K Vol
2026年8月9日
Active
概率趋势
Shopify Rebellion 100.0%
Sentinels 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;First Blood in Game 2? 以 9,995% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $872.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $5.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • First Blood in Game 2? (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,First Blood in Game 2? 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (9,995%)、Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (9,995%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? (9,995%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$5.7K9995¢-9895¢
2First Blood in Game 2?9995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$1159995¢-9895¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$13.5K9995¢-9895¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$1119995¢-9895¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$509995¢-9895¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
18Game 2 Winner5.0%$235.3K95¢
19Match Winner5.0%$454.9K95¢
20Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)5.0%$5.9K95¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5.0%$595¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?5.0%$1095¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?5.0%$1095¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between Sentinels and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 8 at 7:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Sentinels.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 8, 2026

  • 08:19 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $1.77

    Bought 3.160713 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.56

  • 08:01 PM
    0X0x8F46c66C877CbfD56f8F2Fe14eB9E6043d6ec530-1785520987104
    $10.00

    Bought 13.333332 Sentinels for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.75

  • 07:48 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $27.32

    Bought 36.426664 Sentinels for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.75

  • 07:46 PM
    KUkunkun168
    $208.00

    Bought 800 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.26

  • 07:42 PM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $1.00

    Bought 3.846152 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.26

  • 07:42 PM
    $46.49

    Bought 178.807691 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.26

  • 07:41 PM
    JSJS2525
    $50.00

    Bought 66.666664 Sentinels for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.75

  • 07:34 PM
    MMmmomomm2
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785713 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.56

  • 07:34 PM
    MMmmomomm2
    $2.00

    Bought 3.571427 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.56

  • 07:33 PM
    MMmmomomm2
    $3.00

    Bought 5 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.6

  • 07:32 PM
    PApachamanca
    $40.00

    Bought 153.85 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.26

  • 07:30 PM
    LULunlim
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173912 Sentinels for Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.46

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MI1
MissingJoy
Event PnL
+$10,912.12
Volume
$34,489.19
Positions
SentinelsShopify Rebellion
TE2
TeGeeLP
Event PnL
-$17,023.23
Volume
$27,238.30
Positions
Sentinels
BA3
backback
Event PnL
+$275.60
Volume
$24,228.68
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
CH4
CHANGEDEVERYTHING
Event PnL
+$3,729.25
Volume
$22,483.23
Positions
Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$3,725.54
Volume
$21,088.60
Positions
SentinelsShopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
TH6
TheMafiaa
Event PnL
+$3,780.55
Volume
$20,019.77
Positions
SentinelsShopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
EZ7
ezMerge
Event PnL
+$10.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
VE8
verifly
Event PnL
-$4,603.21
Volume
$18,198.60
Positions
Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 First Blood in Game 2?(9,995%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $872.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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