LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

$73.3K Vol
2026年8月24日
Active
概率趋势
LOS 68.5%
LOUD 31.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以压倒性的 7,150% 获胜概率主导市场;Match Winner 以 7,150% 位居第二,Game 2 Winner 以 6,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $73.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (7,150%):Game 1 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,150¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $16.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Match Winner (7,150%):作为最可行的替代选项,Match Winner 保持着 7,150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,150¢。
  • Game 2 Winner (6,250%):以 6,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Game 2 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Any Player Quadra Kill 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner7150.0%$16.3K7150¢-7050¢
2Match Winner7150.0%$45.8K7150¢-7050¢
3Game 2 Winner6250.0%$3.8K6250¢-6150¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$1.3K5000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5000.0%$9595000¢-4900¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$1.0K5000¢-4900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4800.0%$1.3K4800¢-4700¢
28Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)4600.0%$7.6K4600¢-4500¢
29O/U 2.5 Games4350.0%$9484350¢-4250¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between LOS and LOUD in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against LOUD.

This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against LOS.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 23, 2026

  • 08:48 AM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $165.00

    Bought 300 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.55

  • 08:44 AM
    DAdanilavel
    $8.15

    Bought 13.82 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 0.59

  • 08:38 AM
    DAdanilavel
    $3.15

    Bought 7 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.45

  • 08:37 AM
    POpolakurwa
    $170.37

    Bought 370.37 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.46

  • 08:37 AM
    DAdanilavel
    $3.15

    Bought 7 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.45

  • 08:35 AM
    UNunsuspectingmoose
    $5.40

    Bought 10 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.54

  • 08:01 AM
    GAGated
    $23.00

    Bought 33.823528 LOS for LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.68

  • 07:33 AM
    DAdanilavel
    $2.34

    Bought 5.19 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.45

  • 07:33 AM
    DAdanilavel
    $19.44

    Bought 43.21 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.45

  • 07:14 AM
    FAFaustMendez
    $49.17

    Bought 149 LOUD for LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.33

  • 06:35 AM
    FAFaustMendez
    $49.17

    Bought 149 LOUD for LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.33

  • 06:23 AM
    JAJamesNguyen12
    $4.00

    Bought 10 LOUD for LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner at 0.4

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$34.60
Volume
$21,342.84
Positions
LOSLOSLOS+1
EL2
Elaran1993
Event PnL
+$406.67
Volume
$18,129.88
Positions
LOSLOSLOS
BL3
bloodmaster
Event PnL
+$284.52
Volume
$9,423.47
Positions
LOS
CA4
CAcap
Event PnL
-$101.09
Volume
$7,867.79
Positions
LOUDLOUDLOUD+1
BE5
beeepbeep
Event PnL
-$36.90
Volume
$6,730.17
Positions
LOUDLOUDLOUD
LU6
lug
Event PnL
+$9.01
Volume
$4,348.00
Positions
LOS
ZZ7
Zzzz87
Event PnL
+$1,311.50
Volume
$4,300.00
Positions
LOUD
YO8
youngwhale
Event PnL
-$130.37
Volume
$4,222.70
Positions
OverOverOver+3

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 7,150% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Match Winner(7,150%),以及 Game 2 Winner(6,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $73.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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