
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
核心摘要
根据「LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) 以压倒性的 6,750% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,300% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,300% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $89.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) (6,750%):Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,750¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $29.4K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,300%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 6,300% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,300¢。
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,300%):以 6,300% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,150%)、Any Player Quadra Kill (5,450%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (5,450%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) | 6750.0% | $29.4K | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 5450.0% | — | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | First Blood in Game 1? | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 16 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 20 | O/U 2.5 Games | 2850.0% | $1.6K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 25 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 26 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 27 | Game 2 Winner | 1800.0% | $3.9K | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 28 | Game 1 Winner | 1750.0% | $27.2K | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 29 | Match Winner | 1150.0% | $27.0K | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the LoL match between Leviatan Esports and Vivo Keyd Stars in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Leviatan Esports" if Leviatan Esports win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars.
This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win the match against Leviatan Esports.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 21, 2026
- 09:02 PMANAntiVaxxer$0.95
Bought 5 Leviatan Esports for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner at 0.19
- 09:01 PMDUduffycuck$14.82
Bought 17.86 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner at 0.83
- 09:01 PM——$1.00
Bought 1.204817 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner at 0.83
- 09:01 PMBLbloodmaster$521.60
Bought 643.95 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner at 0.81
- 09:01 PMTRtrader-c3f626da$1.00
Bought 1.204817 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner at 0.83
- 08:54 PMONonekhrn$97.90
Bought 110 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.89
- 08:52 PMBRbraviga$125.49
Bought 141 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.89
- 08:51 PM02027k$4.15
Bought 5 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner at 0.83
- 08:49 PMCHcharay12$9.02
Bought 11.1358 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner at 0.81
- 08:49 PMQUqueenshaniqua$4.54
Bought 5.101118 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.89
- 08:49 PMCHcharay12$63.00
Bought 70.786509 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.89
- 08:48 PM02027k$4.45
Bought 5 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.89
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) 以 6,750% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,300%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,300%)。该市场总成交量已达 $89.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
