LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

$62.2K Vol
2026年8月2日
Active
概率趋势
paiN Gaming 85.5%
Leviatan Esports 14.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 以压倒性的 6,600% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 以 6,600% 位居第二,Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) 以 6,450% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $62.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (6,600%):Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,600¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (6,600%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 保持着 6,600% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,600¢。
  • Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) (6,450%):以 6,450% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Any Player Penta Kill (5,150%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?6600.0%6600¢-6500¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?6600.0%6600¢-6500¢
3Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)6450.0%$22.4K6450¢-6350¢
4Any Player Penta Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$285000¢-4900¢
22First Blood in Game 1?4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4350.0%$2.6K4350¢-4250¢
24O/U 2.5 Games3150.0%$3.4K3150¢-3050¢
25Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
26Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
27Game 1 Winner2150.0%$10.6K2150¢-2050¢
28Game 2 Winner1850.0%$13.3K1850¢-1750¢
29Match Winner1450.0%$12.5K1450¢-1350¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between Leviatan Esports and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Leviatan Esports" if Leviatan Esports win the match against paiN Gaming.

This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Gaming win the match against Leviatan Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 1, 2026

  • 08:03 AM
    BAbathinggoldfish17
    $4.26

    Bought 9.906975 Leviatan Esports for Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 08:00 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $10.10

    Bought 13.46 paiN Gaming for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.75

  • 08:00 AM
    SGsgtmike
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702701 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.37

  • 08:00 AM
    SGsgtmike
    $1.00

    Bought 3.846152 Leviatan Esports for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.26

  • 08:00 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $10.10

    Bought 17.413792 paiN Gaming for Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 08:00 AM
    MAmamofaker2
    $10.10

    Bought 15.53846 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.65

  • 08:00 AM
    AMam100
    $72.92

    Bought 97.22 paiN Gaming for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 0.75

  • 08:00 AM
    AMam100
    $72.07

    Bought 96.09 paiN Gaming for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.75

  • 08:00 AM
    AMam100
    $47.93

    Bought 84.08 paiN Gaming for Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:00 AM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $13.33

    Bought 31 Leviatan Esports for Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 08:00 AM
    AMam100
    $73.48

    Bought 113.05 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.65

  • 08:00 AM
    AMam100
    $145.36

    Bought 173.05 paiN Gaming for LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.84

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$154.09
Volume
$15,827.49
Positions
paiN GamingpaiN GamingUnder+2
PO2
PourpelNourpel
Event PnL
-$52.77
Volume
$10,198.02
Positions
paiN GamingpaiN GamingpaiN Gaming
AF3
0xAF48…9074
Event PnL
+$3.44
Volume
$7,117.64
Positions
Leviatan EsportsLeviatan EsportsLeviatan Esports
GO4
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$62.02
Volume
$6,480.88
Positions
paiN GamingpaiN Gaming
NO5
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$39.93
Volume
$5,542.99
Positions
paiN GamingLeviatan EsportsLeviatan Esports+3
FB6
0xFBE8…8436
Event PnL
+$17.79
Volume
$5,068.98
Positions
Leviatan EsportsLeviatan EsportsOver
OR7
Orca4u
Event PnL
+$1.50
Volume
$4,300.77
Positions
paiN Gaming
CA8
CAcap
Event PnL
-$4.58
Volume
$4,157.36
Positions
OverLeviatan EsportsLeviatan Esports+1

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 以 6,600% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?(6,600%),以及 Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)(6,450%)。该市场总成交量已达 $62.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始