LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

$468.1K Vol
2026年8月19日
Active
概率趋势
T1 Academy 100.0%
KT Rolster Challengers 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Odd/Even Total Kills 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $468.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $104.7K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 2.5 Games 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Odd/Even Total Kills 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,950%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$104.7K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$1.2K9995¢-9895¢
3Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%9000¢-8900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills1000.0%1000¢-900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%950¢-850¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%50¢50¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%50¢50¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%50¢50¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
14Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
16Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%50¢50¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%50¢50¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
20Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
21Game 1 Winner5.0%$8.5K95¢
22Match Winner5.0%$352.7K95¢
23Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)5.0%$94795¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster Challengers and T1 Academy in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against T1 Academy.

This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win the match against KT Rolster Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 19, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 19, 2026

  • 08:26 AM
    10100wins
    $80.69

    Sold 80.69 T1 Academy for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 1

  • 08:10 AM
    0X0xNuttawut
    $2,125.09

    Sold 2125.09 T1 Academy for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 1

  • 08:10 AM
    TRTrumplol
    $811.43

    Sold 811.43 T1 Academy for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 1

  • 08:10 AM
    BObolinger-
    $8.45

    Sold 8.45 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 08:10 AM
    BOBottleman
    $20.00

    Sold 20 T1 Academy for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 1

  • 08:08 AM
    JAjackinv1lvl2
    $168.00

    Sold 168 T1 Academy for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 1

  • 08:06 AM
    GOgo4it
    $41.17

    Sold 41.17 T1 Academy for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 1

  • 08:06 AM
    GOgo4it
    $206.71

    Sold 206.71 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 08:06 AM
    $10.00

    Sold 10 T1 Academy for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 1

  • 08:06 AM
    GSgshiny
    $13.69

    Sold 13.69 T1 Academy for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 1

  • 08:04 AM
    SUsuntori
    $51.02

    Sold 51.02 T1 Academy for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 1

  • 08:03 AM
    ZEZeulinio
    $16.91

    Sold 16.91 T1 Academy for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group at 1

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

BB1
BBQChickenisthebesttt
Event PnL
+$25,857.20
Volume
$86,347.62
Positions
T1 Academy
AV2
avonking
Event PnL
+$24.04
Volume
$48,082.95
Positions
T1 Academy
CF3
0xcF60…6847
Event PnL
-$1,598.73
Volume
$26,999.99
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers
CH4
ChonkyChocolateCake
Event PnL
-$15,472.81
Volume
$26,265.49
Positions
KT Rolster Challengers
IL5
ilushin
Event PnL
+$10.23
Volume
$20,465.91
Positions
KT Rolster Challengers
IT6
itsonlyamatteroftime
Event PnL
-$5,154.16
Volume
$16,621.35
Positions
KT Rolster Challengers
LA7
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
-$71.57
Volume
$15,684.76
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers
E98
0xE911…6286
Event PnL
+$2,006.19
Volume
$12,637.90
Positions
T1 Academy

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Odd/Even Total Kills(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $468.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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