LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

$73.3K Vol
2026年8月21日
Active
概率趋势
T1 70.5%
KT Rolster 29.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以压倒性的 6,450% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,450% 位居第二,Any Player Quadra Kill 以 5,350% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $73.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,450¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 6,450% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,450¢。
  • Any Player Quadra Kill (5,350%):以 5,350% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Any Player Quadra Kill 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,250%)、Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,200%),以及 First Blood in Game 2? (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Odd/Even Total Kills 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
3Any Player Quadra Kill5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6First Blood in Game 2?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
16O/U 2.5 Games4550.0%4550¢-4450¢
17Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)4050.0%4050¢-3950¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
19Game 2 Winner3700.0%$63700¢-3600¢
20Game 1 Winner3650.0%$2133650¢-3550¢
21Match Winner2950.0%$73.3K2950¢-2850¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
29Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against T1.

This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against KT Rolster.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 20, 2026

  • 08:07 AM
    0X0x6755AbF41763E4bbB0E900397F6Fe6a8ea795609-1767880934807
    $6.91

    Bought 9.597221 T1 for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.72

  • 07:47 AM
    CAcaniar
    $7.36

    Sold 26.27 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.28

  • 07:07 AM
    SGsgtmike
    $0.99

    Sold 1.4 T1 for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.71

  • 06:59 AM
    HOHoing
    $1.00

    Bought 1.388885 T1 for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.72

  • 05:03 AM
    PRpredictesport
    $14.24

    Bought 19.777775 T1 for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.72

  • 04:06 AM
    KOKoRoma
    $3.60

    Bought 5 T1 for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.72

  • 03:33 AM
    ISiSaddock
    $1.00

    Bought 3.448274 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.29

  • 03:26 AM
    959527test
    $3.65

    Bought 5.07 T1 for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.72

  • 03:22 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $5.57

    Bought 19.206895 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.29

  • 01:38 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 3.448274 KT Rolster for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.29

  • 01:36 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.388885 T1 for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.72

  • 12:26 AM
    HXhxlg4ever
    $28.69

    Sold 40.41 T1 for LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.71

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

ST1
StasPanda
Event PnL
-$40.38
Volume
$24,811.04
Positions
KT Rolster
DR2
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$9,999.98
Positions
T1
L03
l0wkirkenuinely
Event PnL
-$34.00
Volume
$6,800.00
Positions
T1
VI4
vibing123
Event PnL
+$35.55
Volume
$6,703.04
Positions
T1
JU5
JuiceFarm
Event PnL
-$6.50
Volume
$1,300.00
Positions
T1
486
0x48jd…7y4z
Event PnL
-$3.50
Volume
$707.55
Positions
T1
CH7
chaeri
Event PnL
+$0.37
Volume
$653.12
Positions
KT Rolster
HI8
hipp
Event PnL
+$2.33
Volume
$342.18
Positions
KT Rolster

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,450% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,450%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill(5,350%)。该市场总成交量已达 $73.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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