LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

$417.6K Vol
2026年8月30日
Active
概率趋势
LOS 97.1%
Fluxo W7M 2.9%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 以 9,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $417.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $123.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 2.5 Games 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (9,750%):以 9,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (9,745%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,050%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Odd/Even Total Kills 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$123.3K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$14.3K9995¢-9895¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?9750.0%$269750¢-9650¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?9745.0%$6719745¢-9645¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
26First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
31Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
32Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
34First Blood in Game 1?3850.0%$563850¢-3750¢
35Match Winner120.0%$77.5K120¢-20¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?95.0%$2995¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?90.0%$9.0K90¢10¢
38Game 2 Winner5.0%$219.1K95¢
39Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)5.0%$14.7K95¢
40Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)5.0%$1595¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between Fluxo W7M and LOS in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against LOS.

This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against Fluxo W7M.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 29, 2026

  • 08:59 AM
    $1.50

    Bought 2.727271 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.55

  • 08:59 AM
    0X0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
    $90.29

    Bought 209.976743 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.43

  • 08:59 AM
    SLslotangle.brave
    $50.00

    Bought 116.279068 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.43

  • 08:59 AM
    BIbig-bird1
    $1.88

    Bought 4.372092 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.43

  • 08:59 AM
    RArate8caveassault
    $50.00

    Bought 116.279068 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.43

  • 08:59 AM
    MAmark.flores080
    $30.00

    Bought 69.76744 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.43

  • 08:59 AM
    LOlonmi2511
    $131.02

    Bought 304.7 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.43

  • 08:59 AM
    ALalexander.hall13
    $30.00

    Bought 69.76744 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.43

  • 08:59 AM
    ANandrew.nelson5663
    $50.00

    Bought 116.279068 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.43

  • 08:59 AM
    STstand.napkincycle
    $50.00

    Bought 116.279068 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.43

  • 08:59 AM
    BEbenjamin0069
    $50.00

    Bought 116.279068 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.43

  • 08:59 AM
    0X0x3A129ba47Bc3B686613e55D072a0c8c70db9fcEa-1769267639231
    $10.00

    Bought 11.363633 LOS for LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season at 0.88

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

BL1
bloodmaster
Event PnL
+$336.50
Volume
$25,250.00
Positions
LOSLOSUnder+2
ZZ2
Zzzz87
Event PnL
+$17.38
Volume
$19,350.91
Positions
LOSLOSUnder+1
CA3
CAcap
Event PnL
-$359.13
Volume
$9,260.92
Positions
OverFluxo W7MFluxo W7M+1
AL4
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$64.55
Volume
$7,017.46
Positions
Fluxo W7MFluxo W7M
BE5
beeepbeep
Event PnL
-$140.66
Volume
$4,262.86
Positions
Fluxo W7MOver
IN6
InAirdropWeTrust
Event PnL
-$27.50
Volume
$3,748.77
Positions
OverFluxo W7MFluxo W7M+1
LM7
lmtscapt
Event PnL
-$80.02
Volume
$3,349.85
Positions
Fluxo W7MOver
PO8
poshposh
Event PnL
-$11.78
Volume
$2,958.35
Positions
Fluxo W7MFluxo W7M

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?(9,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $417.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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