
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
核心摘要
根据「LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Game 2 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Odd/Even Total Kills 以 9,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $220.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $64.0K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 2.5 Games 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
- Odd/Even Total Kills (9,050%):以 9,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Odd/Even Total Kills 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Odd/Even Total Kills (9,050%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,000%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Any Player Quadra Kill 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $64.0K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 2.5 Games | 9995.0% | $263 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 9050.0% | $112 | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 4 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 9050.0% | $112 | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 9000.0% | $112 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 10 | Any Player Penta Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Penta Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Penta Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 21 | Game 1 Winner | 5.0% | $48.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 22 | Match Winner | 5.0% | $108.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 23 | Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (+1.5) | 5.0% | $5 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the LoL Tiebreaker match between E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS and ROSSMANN Centaurs in the Prime League 1st Division Group A, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS" if E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS win the match against ROSSMANN Centaurs.
This market will resolve to "ROSSMANN Centaurs" if ROSSMANN Centaurs win the match against E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 13, 2026
- 08:43 AMHOhoddlerr$19.78
Bought 49.45 ROSSMANN Centaurs for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 0.4
- 08:43 AM0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027$29.70
Bought 99 ROSSMANN Centaurs for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 0.3
- 08:29 AMJZjzr09$5.00
Bought 7.042251 E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 0.71
- 08:20 AMDAdatradewiz$3.00
Bought 10 ROSSMANN Centaurs for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 0.3
- 06:32 AMB0b00k13$1.45
Bought 5 ROSSMANN Centaurs for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 0.29
- 06:29 AMHEHereToWinBig$9.49
Bought 13 E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 0.73
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Odd/Even Total Kills(9,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $220.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
