LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

$50.6K Vol
2026年8月6日
Active
概率趋势
Kiwoom DRX 69.5%
DN SOOPers 30.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 以压倒性的 7,600% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 以 7,600% 位居第二,Match Winner 以 6,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $50.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (7,600%):Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,600¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (7,600%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 保持着 7,600% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,600¢。
  • Match Winner (6,950%):以 6,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Match Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Game 1 Winner (6,350%)、Game 2 Winner (6,250%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (5,200%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?7600.0%7600¢-7500¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?7600.0%$507600¢-7500¢
3Match Winner6950.0%$47.1K6950¢-6850¢
4Game 1 Winner6350.0%$4176350¢-6250¢
5Game 2 Winner6250.0%$406250¢-6150¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
25First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
26First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
28O/U 2.5 Games4550.0%$1074550¢-4450¢
29Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)4150.0%$2.9K4150¢-4050¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 6 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win the match against DN SOOPers.

This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win the match against Kiwoom DRX.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 5, 2026

  • 07:35 AM
    33338383833
    $5.36

    Bought 8 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.67

  • 04:33 AM
    $0.21

    Sold 0.37 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner at 0.57

  • 04:33 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.51515 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner at 0.66

  • 04:01 AM
    IKikoow
    $18.86

    Sold 29.02 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.65

  • 01:51 AM
    COcorsariov2
    $2.73

    Bought 4.07 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.67

Aug 4, 2026

  • 06:12 PM
    TITimPenis
    $4.49

    Bought 13.2 DN SOOPers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.34

  • 03:31 PM
    SSsssssmm
    $6.60

    Bought 10 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.66

  • 02:17 PM
    TWtwentypercentonly
    $68.00

    Bought 200 DN SOOPers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.34

  • 10:08 AM
    PIPIPIZIN
    $604.35

    Bought 1726.714284 DN SOOPers for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.35

  • 08:06 AM
    0X0xC8e400e2ff07bf2d6c945087003912Bb7A2F1f1F-1765373721201
    $1.00

    Bought 1.449274 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.69

  • 06:02 AM
    HAhavoc804
    $4.26

    Sold 6.36 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.67

  • 05:57 AM
    $4.67

    Sold 6.97 Kiwoom DRX for LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.67

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

ST1
StasPanda
Event PnL
-$140.00
Volume
$28,000.00
Positions
DN SOOPers
AT2
AtlanticTrading
Event PnL
+$73.42
Volume
$14,984.01
Positions
Kiwoom DRX
DR3
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$44.10
Volume
$9,000.00
Positions
Kiwoom DRX
VI4
vibing123
Event PnL
+$18.54
Volume
$7,376.76
Positions
Kiwoom DRXKiwoom DRX
MU5
musndk
Event PnL
-$8.54
Volume
$2,575.00
Positions
Kiwoom DRXKiwoom DRX
KU6
kunkun168
Event PnL
-$10.80
Volume
$2,160.45
Positions
DN SOOPers
RO7
roro.cypher
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$1,999.99
Positions
DN SOOPers
PI8
PIPIZIN
Event PnL
-$56.08
Volume
$1,726.71
Positions
DN SOOPers

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 以 7,600% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?(7,600%),以及 Match Winner(6,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $50.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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