LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

$56.4K Vol
2026年8月22日
Active
概率趋势
Gen.G 66.5%
Dplus KIA 33.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以压倒性的 7,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,050% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 以 5,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $56.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,050%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 7,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,050¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (5,850%):以 5,850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (5,550%)、Any Player Quadra Kill (5,350%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon7050.0%7050¢-6950¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7050.0%7050¢-6950¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5850.0%$1365850¢-5750¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5550.0%$1335550¢-5450¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
12First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14O/U 2.5 Games4750.0%$684750¢-4650¢
15First Blood in Game 2?4600.0%4600¢-4500¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4200.0%$1174200¢-4100¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4000.0%$2.6K4000¢-3900¢
18Game 1 Winner3950.0%$1513950¢-3850¢
19Game 2 Winner3850.0%$603850¢-3750¢
20Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)3850.0%$7.0K3850¢-3750¢
21Match Winner3350.0%$46.1K3350¢-3250¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill3300.0%3300¢-3200¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill3250.0%3250¢-3150¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3200.0%3200¢-3100¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
27Any Player Penta Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1700.0%1700¢-1600¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against Gen.G.

This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against Dplus KIA.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 21, 2026

  • 09:01 PM
    AMam100
    $474.93

    Bought 804.96 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.59

  • 09:01 PM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $14.33

    Bought 23.491802 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.61

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $450.76

    Bought 764 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.59

  • 08:35 PM
    ALalternategiraffe
    $5.00

    Bought 7.692306 Gen.G for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.65

  • 08:26 PM
    0X0xCCaB7226737954e0F0077066E5653Db5Bf4246f9-1775213775756
    $3.00

    Bought 6.25 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

  • 08:23 PM
    25254321758
    $3.05

    Bought 5 Gen.G for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner at 0.61

  • 08:23 PM
    25254321758
    $2.00

    Bought 5 Dplus KIA for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner at 0.4

  • 08:22 PM
    LALaziFTW
    $4.15

    Bought 6.39 Gen.G for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.65

  • 08:22 PM
    0X0xEf07Fe3d62195Acd4EdF278dDfD35991A627BB26-1778701643228
    $568.61

    Sold 874.78 Gen.G for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.65

  • 08:10 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $10.47

    Bought 15.863635 Gen.G for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.66

  • 08:05 PM
    0X0x7218c268CE3D59a4df02faE0F3f2f7ffd21DEa41-1782193159069
    $50.00

    Bought 79.365078 Dplus KIA for Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) at 0.63

  • 08:00 PM
    FOforgedinlol
    $3.30

    Bought 5 Gen.G for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group at 0.66

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

161
0x1610…6261
Event PnL
-$466.46
Volume
$35,273.56
Positions
Gen.G
KI2
KingOfEsports
Event PnL
+$6.59
Volume
$15,977.04
Positions
Dplus KIADplus KIA
DR3
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$150.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Dplus KIA
VI4
vibing123
Event PnL
+$107.41
Volume
$6,896.50
Positions
Dplus KIADplus KIA
DA5
dad168168
Event PnL
+$18.97
Volume
$3,793.02
Positions
Gen.G
L06
l0wkirkenuinely
Event PnL
-$18.00
Volume
$3,600.00
Positions
Dplus KIA
JU7
juanuski235
Event PnL
+$0.30
Volume
$2,060.00
Positions
Gen.G
AM8
am100
Event PnL
-$3.78
Volume
$1,697.08
Positions
Under

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 7,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(7,050%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?(5,850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $56.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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