LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$109.5K Vol
2026年8月30日
Active
概率趋势
LYON 66.5%
Cloud9 33.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以压倒性的 6,350% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,350% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 以 6,350% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $109.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,350%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,350¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,350%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 6,350% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,350¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (6,350%):以 6,350% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,300%)、Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (6,300%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill (5,250%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Any Player Penta Kill 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon6350.0%6350¢-6250¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6350.0%6350¢-6250¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?6350.0%6350¢-6250¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?6300.0%$4466300¢-6200¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
7Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
10First Blood in Game 2?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
11First Blood in Game 1?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15O/U 2.5 Games4550.0%$4104550¢-4450¢
16Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4550.0%$1.7K4550¢-4450¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4350.0%$5.2K4350¢-4250¢
18Game 2 Winner4050.0%$2194050¢-3950¢
19Game 1 Winner3950.0%$9553950¢-3850¢
20Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)3900.0%$5.7K3900¢-3800¢
21Match Winner3350.0%$103.4K3350¢-3250¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3150.0%3150¢-3050¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3100.0%3100¢-3000¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
30Any Player Penta Kill1100.0%1100¢-1000¢
31Any Player Penta Kill750.0%750¢-650¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and LYON in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against LYON.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Cloud9.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 29, 2026

  • 08:56 PM
    0X0x233E59b71e3A1fc1e837F9Dcce68fdaF150b14Bd-1784864545920
    $2.72

    Bought 8 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.34

  • 08:56 PM
    CHchrysos
    $49.98

    Bought 147 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.34

  • 08:56 PM
    GRGrig515
    $2,670.00

    Bought 3985.074624 LYON for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.67

  • 08:51 PM
    HEHeitGwinni
    $51.28

    Sold 77.69 LYON for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.66

  • 08:51 PM
    JOJonzy887
    $5.10

    Bought 15 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.34

  • 08:50 PM
    NInigiri99
    $18.80

    Bought 47 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) at 0.4

  • 08:46 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $9.82

    Bought 24.55 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) at 0.4

  • 08:44 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $19.04

    Bought 56 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.34

  • 08:40 PM
    MIMinne2507
    $1.18

    Bought 1.761193 LYON for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.67

  • 08:39 PM
    0X0x3b9e88340A4bEd269CC1DD87970990Ac66589978-1787951853075
    $4.95

    Bought 9 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.55

  • 08:35 PM
    BRbrunoraupp
    $5.10

    Bought 15 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.34

  • 08:35 PM
    VIVini00
    $5.00

    Bought 14.7 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.34

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$479.25
Volume
$29,813.22
Positions
LYONLYON
AN2
Anjun
Event PnL
-$333.33
Volume
$22,222.00
Positions
Cloud9
SI3
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
-$75.00
Volume
$15,000.00
Positions
Cloud9
PU4
purplegatto
Event PnL
+$181.37
Volume
$12,090.24
Positions
LYON
MA5
MagicalJourney
Event PnL
+$23.56
Volume
$11,522.78
Positions
LYON
DR6
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
LYON
697
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$76.00
Volume
$9,430.55
Positions
Cloud9UnderUnder+1
VI8
vibing123
Event PnL
+$18.20
Volume
$8,049.85
Positions
LYON

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,350% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,350%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?(6,350%)。该市场总成交量已达 $109.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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