LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

$62.8K Vol
2026年8月21日
Active
概率趋势
BNK FEARX 55.5%
HANJIN BRION 44.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以压倒性的 6,500% 获胜概率主导市场;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,500% 位居第二,Any Player Quadra Kill 以 5,350% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $62.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%):Both Teams Slay a Dragon 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,500¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%):作为最可行的替代选项,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持着 6,500% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,500¢。
  • Any Player Quadra Kill (5,350%):以 5,350% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Any Player Quadra Kill 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,350%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,250%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,200%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
3Any Player Quadra Kill5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5350.0%$855350¢-5250¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5200.0%$975200¢-5100¢
8Any Player Penta Kill5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
9First Blood in Game 1?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13First Blood in Game 2?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
14O/U 2.5 Games4850.0%$224850¢-4750¢
15Game 2 Winner4750.0%$104750¢-4650¢
16Game 1 Winner4650.0%$2954650¢-4550¢
17Match Winner4450.0%$53.3K4450¢-4350¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4000.0%4000¢-3900¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4000.0%4000¢-3900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
21Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)2950.0%$9.0K2950¢-2850¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
29Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against BNK FEARX.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against HANJIN BRION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 20, 2026

  • 08:43 PM
    RAraiztes
    $5.00

    Bought 10.20408 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 08:35 PM
    MAMarlian
    $50.00

    Bought 84.74576 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.59

  • 08:34 PM
    MAMarlian
    $50.00

    Bought 87.719297 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 08:19 PM
    UKUkc22
    $4.50

    Bought 10 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45

  • 08:15 PM
    TITIppi88k
    $10.00

    Bought 17.85714 BNK FEARX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.56

  • 08:11 PM
    SUsukez
    $40.00

    Bought 88.888887 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45

  • 08:06 PM
    $7.84

    Bought 14 BNK FEARX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.56

  • 08:04 PM
    $2.16

    Bought 4.8 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45

  • 08:04 PM
    LOloloansonlolo
    $5.00

    Bought 11.11111 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45

  • 08:04 PM
    CSCSBBB
    $8.00

    Bought 17.777776 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.45

  • 08:02 PM
    0X0x1610DB79f753a80207E1d66716be9E91E627AE49-1778875286261
    $11,795.23

    Bought 21062.91 BNK FEARX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.56

  • 08:00 PM
    FOforgedinlol
    $25.00

    Bought 44.64 BNK FEARX for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group at 0.56

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

EL1
Elaran1993
Event PnL
+$120.15
Volume
$24,015.10
Positions
BNK FEARXBNK FEARXBNK FEARX
162
0x1610…6261
Event PnL
-$105.29
Volume
$21,062.91
Positions
BNK FEARX
BB3
BBQChickenisthebesttt
Event PnL
-$100.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
HANJIN BRION
LA4
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
+$62.79
Volume
$18,803.40
Positions
HANJIN BRIONHANJIN BRION
795
0x7986…3927
Event PnL
+$50.66
Volume
$10,131.27
Positions
HANJIN BRION
EG6
egame123
Event PnL
+$23.00
Volume
$4,642.04
Positions
BNK FEARX
9F7
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
-$43.80
Volume
$4,380.00
Positions
BNK FEARX
FO8
forget4
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
HANJIN BRION

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,500% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,500%),以及 Any Player Quadra Kill(5,350%)。该市场总成交量已达 $62.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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