ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl

$540 Vol
2026年8月5日
Active
概率趋势
Leonie Rabl 70.0%
Aiya Nupbay 37.0%

核心摘要

根据「ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 5,850% 获胜概率主导市场;ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 Winner 以 5,000% 位居第二,ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 O/U 8.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $540,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,850%):ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,850¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 Winner (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 Winner 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
  • ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 O/U 8.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%)、ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%),以及 Completed Match (4,950%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 1 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 1 O/U 8.55850.0%5850¢-5750¢
2ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Completed Match4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
7ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
8ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Match O/U 21.54600.0%$184600¢-4500¢
9ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 1 Winner4550.0%4550¢-4450¢
10ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Match O/U 23.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
11ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Match O/U 22.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
12ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl4150.0%$5224150¢-4050¢
13ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set Handicap +/-1.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
14ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Total Sets: O/U 2.53600.0%3600¢-3500¢
15ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 1 O/U 10.53400.0%3400¢-3300¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Aiya Nupbay and Leonie Rabl in the ITF Women Astana, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aiya Nupbay' if Aiya Nupbay advances against Leonie Rabl.

This market will resolve to 'Leonie Rabl' if Leonie Rabl advances against Aiya Nupbay.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 5,850% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 Winner(5,000%),以及 ITF Astana: Aiya Nupbay vs Leonie Rabl Set 2 O/U 8.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $540,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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