ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto

$5 Vol
2026年7月31日
Active
概率趋势
Natsuki Yoshimoto 79.5%
I Wen Wan 20.5%

核心摘要

根据「ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以压倒性的 6,100% 获胜概率主导市场;ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 Winner 以 6,000% 位居第二,ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 10.5 以 5,400% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $5,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (6,100%):ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Total Sets: O/U 2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,100¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 Winner (6,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 Winner 保持着 6,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,000¢。
  • ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 10.5 (5,400%):以 5,400% 的概率位列第三,市场对 ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 10.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Completed Match (5,000%)、ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%),以及 ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 2 Winner 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Total Sets: O/U 2.56100.0%6100¢-6000¢
2ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 Winner6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
3ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 10.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
4Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Match O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Match O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Match O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 8.53400.0%3400¢-3300¢
14ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set Handicap +/-1.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
15ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto2050.0%$52050¢-1950¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between I Wen Wan and Natsuki Yoshimoto in the ITF Women Brisbane, originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'I Wen Wan' if I Wen Wan advances against Natsuki Yoshimoto.

This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yoshimoto' if Natsuki Yoshimoto advances against I Wen Wan.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 6,100% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 Winner(6,000%),以及 ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 10.5(5,400%)。该市场总成交量已达 $5,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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