United States vs. Belgium

$557.3K Vol
2026年7月7日
Active
概率趋势
No 65.5%
Yes 34.5%

核心摘要

根据「United States vs. Belgium」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，United States 以压倒性的 3,650% 获胜概率主导市场；Belgium 以 3,450% 位居第二，Draw (United States vs. Belgium) 以 2,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $557.3K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • United States (3,650%)：United States 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 3,650¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $63.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Belgium (3,450%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Belgium 保持着 3,450% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 3,450¢。
  • Draw (United States vs. Belgium) (2,950%)：以 2,950% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Draw (United States vs. Belgium) 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1United States3650.0%$63.9K3650¢-3550¢
2Belgium3450.0%$388.6K3450¢-3350¢
3Draw (United States vs. Belgium)2950.0%$104.8K2950¢-2850¢

裁决规则

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, July 6, 2026 between United States and Belgium.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 2, 2026

  • 08:55 PM
    BGBGB5056
    $4.00

    Sold 6.15 No for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? at 0.65

  • 08:54 PM
    0X0xb252B3951BE61Cc87e3a07913F6eF0b493edBD99-1769960990055
    $1.00

    Bought 2.857141 Yes for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? at 0.35

  • 08:50 PM
    TItimka02
    $1.00

    Bought 2.857141 Yes for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? at 0.35

  • 08:50 PM
    0X0x01E8dd7FbfCdd0a01D8F0bdC359A476a414c79DC-1772657272806
    $10.00

    Bought 33.333332 Yes for Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? at 0.3

  • 08:50 PM
    TItimka02
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777776 Yes for Will United States win on 2026-07-06? at 0.36

  • 08:49 PM
    TEtennis.player
    $5.00

    Bought 14.285713 Yes for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? at 0.35

  • 08:47 PM
    0X0x2330Ef0A5E9f899e5b72E15336b9CB2a13784a09-1775143786303
    $54.00

    Bought 150 Yes for Will United States win on 2026-07-06? at 0.36

  • 08:47 PM
    SEsentinel-x
    $5.00

    Bought 7.69 No for Will United States win on 2026-07-06? at 0.65

  • 08:43 PM
    FAFantaman
    $10.00

    Bought 15.151514 No for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? at 0.66

  • 08:42 PM
    BLBlessedSunshine888
    $1.11

    Bought 1.7 No for Will United States win on 2026-07-06? at 0.65

  • 08:42 PM
    ——
    $1,000.00

    Bought 2777.777776 Yes for Will United States win on 2026-07-06? at 0.36

  • 08:42 PM
    ——
    $19.80

    Bought 30.461537 No for Will United States win on 2026-07-06? at 0.65

常见问题

当前市场对「United States vs. Belgium」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，United States 以 3,650% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Belgium（3,450%），以及 Draw (United States vs. Belgium)（2,950%）。该市场总成交量已达 $557.3K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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