Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals - First 5 Innings Winner

2026年7月4日
Active
概率趋势
No 64.5%
Yes 35.5%

核心摘要

根据「Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals - First 5 Innings Winner」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Washington Nationals 以压倒性的 5,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Pittsburgh Pirates 以 3,650% 位居第二,Draw 以 1,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Washington Nationals (5,050%):Washington Nationals 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Pittsburgh Pirates (3,650%):作为最可行的替代选项,Pittsburgh Pirates 保持着 3,650% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 3,650¢。
  • Draw (1,500%):以 1,500% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Draw 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Washington Nationals5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
2Pittsburgh Pirates3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
3Draw1500.0%1500¢-1400¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 3 at 6:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

常见问题

当前市场对「Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals - First 5 Innings Winner」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Washington Nationals 以 5,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Pittsburgh Pirates(3,650%),以及 Draw(1,500%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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