Mexico vs. England - Player Props
$67.3K Vol
2026年7月6日
Active
概率趋势
No 61.5%
Yes 38.5%
核心摘要
根据「Mexico vs. England - Player Props」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Harry Kane: 1+ shots 以压倒性的 8,900% 获胜概率主导市场；Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots 以 7,350% 位居第二，Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots 以 7,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $67.3K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Harry Kane: 1+ shots (8,900%)：Harry Kane: 1+ shots 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,900¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $233 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots (7,350%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots 保持着 7,350% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,350¢。
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots (7,250%)：以 7,250% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 Harry Kane: 2+ shots (7,200%)、Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots (6,700%)，以及 Harry Kane: 3+ shots (6,100%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harry Kane: 1+ shots | 8900.0% | $233 | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 2 | Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots | 7350.0% | — | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 3 | Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots | 7250.0% | — | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 4 | Harry Kane: 2+ shots | 7200.0% | $6 | 7200¢ | -7100¢ |
| 5 | Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots | 6700.0% | $8 | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 6 | Harry Kane: 3+ shots | 6100.0% | $1.5K | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 7 | Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots | 5350.0% | $14 | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 8 | Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Armando González: 1+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 10 | Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 11 | Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 12 | Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 13 | Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 14 | Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 15 | Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 16 | Jordan Pickford: 5+ saves | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | Raúl Rangel: 3+ saves | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 18 | Raúl Rangel: 5+ saves | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 19 | Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists | 4950.0% | $5 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 20 | Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 21 | Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 22 | Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 23 | Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 24 | Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 25 | Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 26 | Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 27 | Jordan Pickford: 2+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 28 | Raúl Rangel: 2+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 29 | Raúl Rangel: 4+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 30 | Armando González: 2+ shots on target | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 31 | Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 32 | Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots on target | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 33 | Armando González: 3+ shots on target | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 34 | Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 35 | Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 36 | Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 37 | Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 38 | Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 39 | Jordan Pickford: 4+ saves | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 40 | Armando González: 1+ shots | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 41 | Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots | 4250.0% | $1 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 42 | Harry Kane: 4+ shots | 4050.0% | $147 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 43 | Ivan Toney: 2+ shots | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 44 | Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots | 3900.0% | — | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 45 | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | 3850.0% | $22.9K | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 46 | Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists | 3800.0% | — | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 47 | Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assists | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 48 | Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 49 | Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals + assists | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 50 | Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assists | 3750.0% | — | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 51 | Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists | 3700.0% | — | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 52 | Ivan Toney: 1+ shots | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 53 | Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots on target | 3600.0% | — | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 54 | Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 55 | Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals + assists | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 56 | Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 57 | Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots on target | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 58 | Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots | 3300.0% | $2 | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 59 | Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 60 | Jordan Pickford: 3+ saves | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 61 | Armando González: 2+ shots | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 62 | Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 63 | Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 64 | Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals + assists | 3050.0% | — | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 65 | Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals + assists | 2950.0% | — | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 66 | Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists | 2700.0% | $10 | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 67 | Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals | 2650.0% | $15.0K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 68 | Harry Kane: 5+ shots | 2650.0% | $23 | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 69 | Ivan Toney: 3+ shots | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 70 | Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 71 | Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 72 | Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots | 2500.0% | $14 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 73 | Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals | 2350.0% | $10.3K | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 74 | Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 75 | Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals + assists | 2150.0% | $12 | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 76 | Armando González: 3+ shots | 2100.0% | — | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 77 | Santiago Giménez: 5+ shots | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 78 | Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals + assists | 2050.0% | — | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 79 | Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 80 | Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 81 | Ivan Toney: 4+ shots | 1650.0% | $101 | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 82 | Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots | 1600.0% | $101 | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 83 | Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 84 | Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots on target | 1500.0% | — | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 85 | Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 86 | Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target | 1400.0% | — | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 87 | Ollie Watkins: 5+ shots | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 88 | Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals | 1150.0% | $244 | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 89 | Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 90 | Raúl Jiménez: 5+ shots | 1100.0% | — | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 91 | Armando González: 1+ goals | 1050.0% | $1.4K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 92 | Ivan Toney: 1+ goals | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 93 | Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 94 | Harry Kane: 1+ assists | 1000.0% | $735 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 95 | Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists | 1000.0% | $237 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 96 | Julián Quiñones: 1+ assists | 950.0% | $165 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 97 | Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals | 850.0% | $100 | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 98 | Harry Kane: 2+ goals | 800.0% | $940 | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 99 | Armando González: 4+ shots | 700.0% | $101 | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 100 | Julián Quiñones: 5+ shots | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 101 | Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 102 | Armando González: 5+ shots | 650.0% | $10 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 103 | Ivan Toney: 2+ goals | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 104 | Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 105 | Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists | 550.0% | $76 | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 106 | Armando González: 2+ goals | 350.0% | — | 350¢ | -250¢ |
| 107 | Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals | 350.0% | — | 350¢ | -250¢ |
| 108 | Ivan Toney: 5+ shots | 300.0% | — | 300¢ | -200¢ |
| 109 | Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists | 300.0% | — | 300¢ | -200¢ |
| 110 | Julián Quiñones: 2+ assists | 295.0% | $200 | 295¢ | -195¢ |
| 111 | Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals | 265.0% | $6.5K | 265¢ | -165¢ |
| 112 | Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assists | 250.0% | — | 250¢ | -150¢ |
| 113 | Armando González: 3+ goals | 245.0% | — | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 114 | Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals | 245.0% | — | 245¢ | -145¢ |
| 115 | Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals | 220.0% | $7.4K | 220¢ | -120¢ |
| 116 | Harry Kane: 2+ assists | 190.0% | $10 | 190¢ | -90¢ |
| 117 | Ivan Toney: 3+ goals | 160.0% | $5 | 160¢ | -60¢ |
| 118 | Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals | 150.0% | $150 | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 119 | Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals | 150.0% | $10 | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 120 | Harry Kane: 3+ goals | 145.0% | $5 | 145¢ | -45¢ |
| 121 | Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals | 140.0% | — | 140¢ | -40¢ |
| 122 | Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals | 140.0% | — | 140¢ | -40¢ |
| 123 | Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals | 50.0% | $50 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
裁决规则
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.
常见问题
当前市场对「Mexico vs. England - Player Props」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Harry Kane: 1+ shots 以 8,900% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots（7,350%），以及 Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots（7,250%）。该市场总成交量已达 $67.3K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。