Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props
$541.9K Vol
2026年7月6日
Active
概率趋势
No 57.5%
Yes 42.5%
核心摘要
根据「Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，Erling Haaland: 1+ shots 以压倒性的 9,100% 获胜概率主导市场；Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots 以 9,100% 位居第二，Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots 以 8,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $541.9K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shots (9,100%)：Erling Haaland: 1+ shots 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,100¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $22.7K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots (9,100%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots 保持着 9,100% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,100¢。
- Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots (8,750%)：以 8,750% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots (8,350%)、Erling Haaland: 2+ shots (8,150%)，以及 Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots (7,500%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erling Haaland: 1+ shots | 9100.0% | $22.7K | 9100¢ | -9000¢ |
| 2 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots | 9100.0% | $2.2K | 9100¢ | -9000¢ |
| 3 | Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots | 8750.0% | $50 | 8750¢ | -8650¢ |
| 4 | Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots | 8350.0% | $100 | 8350¢ | -8250¢ |
| 5 | Erling Haaland: 2+ shots | 8150.0% | $2.6K | 8150¢ | -8050¢ |
| 6 | Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots | 7500.0% | $122 | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 7 | Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots | 7250.0% | $11 | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 8 | Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots | 6700.0% | $281 | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 9 | Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots | 6700.0% | $2.6K | 6700¢ | -6600¢ |
| 10 | Erling Haaland: 3+ shots | 6650.0% | $1.0K | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 11 | Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots | 5650.0% | $68 | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 12 | Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 13 | Igor Thiago: 2+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 14 | Igor Thiago: 3+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 15 | Igor Thiago: 4+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 16 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots on target | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 18 | Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists | 4950.0% | $6.7K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 19 | Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 20 | Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals + assists | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 21 | Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assists | 4950.0% | $5.2K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 22 | Raphinha: 2+ goals + assists | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 23 | Raphinha: 3+ goals + assists | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 24 | Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals + assists | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 25 | Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists | 4900.0% | $2.4K | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 26 | Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots | 4750.0% | $66 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 27 | Igor Thiago: 1+ shots on target | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 28 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots on target | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 29 | Raphinha: 1+ shots on target | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 30 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 31 | Alisson: 2+ saves | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 32 | Ørjan Nyland: 2+ saves | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 33 | Ørjan Nyland: 3+ saves | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 34 | Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 35 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | 4250.0% | $145.2K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 36 | Erling Haaland: 4+ shots | 4200.0% | $1.1K | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 37 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals | 4050.0% | $137.7K | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 38 | Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots | 3950.0% | $3.9K | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 39 | Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots on target | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
| 40 | Igor Thiago: 1+ shots | 3850.0% | — | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 41 | Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots | 3650.0% | $1.6K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 42 | Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals + assists | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 43 | Alisson: 4+ saves | 3600.0% | — | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 44 | Raphinha: 1+ shots | 3500.0% | $355 | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 45 | Ørjan Nyland: 4+ saves | 3400.0% | $51 | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 46 | Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals + assists | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 47 | Alisson: 3+ saves | 3350.0% | — | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 48 | Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists | 3300.0% | — | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 49 | Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 50 | Raphinha: 2+ shots on target | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 51 | Ørjan Nyland: 5+ saves | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 52 | Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 53 | Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots on target | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 54 | Alisson: 5+ saves | 3150.0% | — | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 55 | Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists | 3150.0% | $6 | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 56 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals + assists | 3100.0% | $75 | 3100¢ | -3000¢ |
| 57 | Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals | 3050.0% | $5.4K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 58 | Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists | 3000.0% | $3.6K | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 59 | Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assists | 3000.0% | $1.4K | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 60 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 61 | Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots on target | 2850.0% | $5 | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 62 | Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals + assists | 2800.0% | $10 | 2800¢ | -2700¢ |
| 63 | Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target | 2750.0% | $14 | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 64 | Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 65 | Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 66 | Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target | 2700.0% | — | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 67 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists | 2700.0% | $83 | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 68 | Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target | 2650.0% | — | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 69 | Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target | 2600.0% | $5 | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 70 | Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists | 2400.0% | $1.7K | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 71 | Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists | 2400.0% | $2.8K | 2400¢ | -2300¢ |
| 72 | Igor Thiago: 2+ shots | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 73 | Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target | 2200.0% | $108 | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
| 74 | Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target | 2050.0% | $12 | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 75 | Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots | 2000.0% | $28 | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 76 | Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists | 1950.0% | — | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 77 | Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists | 1800.0% | — | 1800¢ | -1700¢ |
| 78 | Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 79 | Erling Haaland: 5+ shots | 1650.0% | $55 | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 80 | Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals | 1600.0% | $2.6K | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 81 | Raphinha: 2+ shots | 1600.0% | $55 | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 82 | Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shots | 1600.0% | $61 | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 83 | Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target | 1450.0% | — | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 84 | Matheus Cunha: 5+ shots | 1300.0% | — | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 85 | Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals | 1250.0% | $5.9K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 86 | Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists | 1250.0% | $2.4K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 87 | Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists | 1250.0% | $2.1K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 88 | Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 89 | Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target | 1250.0% | — | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
| 90 | Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | 1150.0% | $38.7K | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 91 | Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots | 1100.0% | $240 | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 92 | Igor Thiago: 3+ shots | 1100.0% | — | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 93 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots | 1100.0% | — | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 94 | Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals | 1050.0% | $63.5K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 95 | Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists | 1050.0% | $2.1K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 96 | Erling Haaland: 1+ assists | 950.0% | $3.9K | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 97 | Raphinha: 1+ goals | 850.0% | $1.8K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 98 | Raphinha: 1+ assists | 850.0% | $211 | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 99 | Raphinha: 1+ goals + assists | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 100 | Igor Thiago: 4+ shots | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 101 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots on target | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 102 | Raphinha: 4+ shots on target | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 103 | Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots | 600.0% | $21 | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 104 | Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots | 555.0% | $14 | 555¢ | -455¢ |
| 105 | Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 106 | Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals | 480.0% | $17.9K | 480¢ | -380¢ |
| 107 | Igor Thiago: 1+ goals | 400.0% | $431 | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 108 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 109 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 110 | Raphinha: 3+ shots | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 111 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals | 350.0% | $103 | 350¢ | -250¢ |
| 112 | Igor Thiago: 5+ shots | 305.0% | — | 305¢ | -205¢ |
| 113 | Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assists | 295.0% | $555 | 295¢ | -195¢ |
| 114 | Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | 260.0% | $21.2K | 260¢ | -160¢ |
| 115 | Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists | 260.0% | $2.7K | 260¢ | -160¢ |
| 116 | Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals | 240.0% | $10.0K | 240¢ | -140¢ |
| 117 | Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals | 235.0% | $3.8K | 235¢ | -135¢ |
| 118 | Antonio Nusa: 5+ shots | 225.0% | $106 | 225¢ | -125¢ |
| 119 | Raphinha: 2+ assists | 225.0% | — | 225¢ | -125¢ |
| 120 | Raphinha: 4+ goals + assists | 205.0% | $3.5K | 205¢ | -105¢ |
| 121 | Erling Haaland: 2+ assists | 190.0% | $378 | 190¢ | -90¢ |
| 122 | Raphinha: 4+ shots | 155.0% | — | 155¢ | -55¢ |
| 123 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 5+ shots | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 124 | Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 125 | Matheus Cunha: 2+ assists | 150.0% | $67 | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 126 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots on target | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 127 | Raphinha: 3+ shots on target | 150.0% | — | 150¢ | -50¢ |
| 128 | Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals | 105.0% | $1.6K | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 129 | Raphinha: 5+ shots | 105.0% | — | 105¢ | -5¢ |
| 130 | Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals | 65.0% | $4.7K | 65¢ | 35¢ |
| 131 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals | 55.0% | $45 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 132 | Raphinha: 2+ goals | 55.0% | $1.2K | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 133 | Igor Thiago: 2+ goals | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 134 | Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 135 | Igor Thiago: 3+ goals | 45.0% | $10 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 136 | Raphinha: 3+ goals | 45.0% | $25 | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 137 | Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals | 25.0% | $260 | 25¢ | 75¢ |
裁决规则
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Norway, scheduled for July 5 at 4:00 PM ET.
常见问题
当前市场对「Brazil vs. Norway - Player Props」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，Erling Haaland: 1+ shots 以 9,100% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots（9,100%），以及 Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots（8,750%）。该市场总成交量已达 $541.9K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。