EWC 2026: Team with the Widest Hero Pool

1年1月1日
Resolved
概率趋势
Team Spirit 30.5%
1w 25.5%
PVISION 25.5%
Aurora Gaming 25.5%
Xtreme Gaming 25.5%

核心摘要

根据「EWC 2026: Team with the Widest Hero Pool」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Team Spirit 以压倒性的 3,050% 获胜概率主导市场;1w 以 2,550% 位居第二,PVISION 以 2,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Team Spirit (3,050%):Team Spirit 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 3,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 1w (2,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,1w 保持着 2,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 2,550¢。
  • PVISION (2,550%):以 2,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 PVISION 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Aurora Gaming (2,550%)、Xtreme Gaming (2,550%),以及 Team Yandex (2,550%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Team Falcons 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Team Spirit3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
21w2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
3PVISION2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
4Aurora Gaming2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
5Xtreme Gaming2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
6Team Yandex2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
7Team Falcons2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
8Team Liquid2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
9BB Team2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
10MOUZ2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
11PTime2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
12OG2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
13Virtus.pro2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
14LGD Gaming2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
15Rune Eaters2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
16Level UP2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
17Poor Rangers2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
18L1 TEAM2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
19IC x Insanity2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
20Vici Gaming2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
21REKONIX2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
22GamerLegion2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
23Team Nemesis2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
24Nigma Galaxy2550.0%2550¢-2450¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to the team that uses the most unique heroes across the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) Dota 2 tournament, held July 7–19, 2026 in Paris, France.

A team's "hero pool" is the set of distinct heroes that team drafts and plays across all of its completed official games at EWC 2026. A hero counts once toward a team's pool no matter how many times that team picks it, and regardless of which player on the team plays it.

Only completed official games count (group stage, survival/gauntlet stage, and playoffs). Heroes picked in a game that is remade or not completed do not count from that game, but count if picked by the team in any other completed game.

Bans are not counted; only heroes drafted and played count toward a team's pool.

This market resolves to the team with the most unique heroes played at the conclusion of the tournament. If two or more teams are tied for the most unique heroes, the market resolves to the tied team that played the fewer number of total games at the tournament. If teams remain tied on both unique heroes and total games played, the market resolves to the tied team with the higher final tournament placement. If a tie still persists, the market will resolve to the team that comes first alphabetically.

If the tournament is cancelled, postponed past August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results are not determined within that timeframe, this market will also resolve to "Other."

The primary resolution source for this market will be Datdota (https://www.datdota.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「EWC 2026: Team with the Widest Hero Pool」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Team Spirit 以 3,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 1w(2,550%),以及 PVISION(2,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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