
EA Sports College Football 27: Cover Athlete
核心摘要
根据「EA Sports College Football 27: Cover Athlete」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Colin Simmons 以压倒性的 9,250% 获胜概率主导市场;Malachi Toney 以 9,200% 位居第二,Dante Moore 以 9,150% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $375,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Colin Simmons (9,250%):Colin Simmons 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,250¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $53 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Malachi Toney (9,200%):作为最可行的替代选项,Malachi Toney 保持着 9,200% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,200¢。
- Dante Moore (9,150%):以 9,150% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Dante Moore 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Leonard Moore (9,150%)、Kewan Lacy (9,150%),以及 Julian Sayin (4,050%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 CJ Carr 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colin Simmons | 9250.0% | $53 | 9250¢ | -9150¢ |
| 2 | Malachi Toney | 9200.0% | $59 | 9200¢ | -9100¢ |
| 3 | Dante Moore | 9150.0% | $48 | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 4 | Leonard Moore | 9150.0% | $49 | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 5 | Kewan Lacy | 9150.0% | $56 | 9150¢ | -9050¢ |
| 6 | Julian Sayin | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 7 | CJ Carr | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 8 | Fernando Mendoza | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 9 | Sam Leavitt | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 10 | LaNorris Sellers | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 11 | Bo Jackson | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 12 | Jeremiah Smith | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 13 | Darian Mensah | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 14 | Trinidad Chambliss | 4050.0% | $10 | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 15 | Arch Manning | 4000.0% | $10 | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 16 | Jyaire Hill | 4000.0% | $10 | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
裁决规则
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as the cover athlete of EA Sports College Football 27, or if the player is explicitly depicted on the cover. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only explicit depictions of the player or their likeness (including but not limited to: a player’s face, a clear depiction in uniform including logo and/or number) will be considered for this market’s resolution.
All editions (e.g. standard, deluxe, bundle) of the game for console platforms slated for release by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count toward this market’s resolution.
If EA Sports College Football 27 does not release, or it cannot be determined if a listed player is included on the cover by August 31, 2026, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from EA Sports and/or the player; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 18, 2026
- 02:11 PMRORobbb$18.52
Bought 18.9 Yes for Will Kewan Lacy be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.98
- 02:11 PMRORobbb$7.35
Bought 7.5 Yes for Will Colin Simmons be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.98
Aug 17, 2026
- 09:32 PMRORobbb$7.91
Bought 8.15 Yes for Will Kewan Lacy be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.97
- 09:23 PM0X0x9efaf29B1256F2EE16B16C32eb8ab4aFC76a9332-1766657786265$1.00
Bought 3.125 No for Will Kewan Lacy be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.32
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$7.08
Bought 7.3 Yes for Will Colin Simmons be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.97
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$35.78
Bought 36.51 Yes for Will Leonard Moore be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.98
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$45.78
Bought 46.71 Yes for Will Malachi Toney be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.98
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$35.02
Bought 35.73 Yes for Will Dante Moore be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.98
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$13.38
Bought 13.79 Yes for Will Kewan Lacy be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.97
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$25.34
Bought 26.12 Yes for Will Colin Simmons be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.97
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$7.70
Bought 10 No for Will Jyaire Hill be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.77
- 08:20 PMRORobbb$7.80
Bought 10 No for Will Trinidad Chambliss be on the cover of EA Sports College Football 27? at 0.78
常见问题
当前市场对「EA Sports College Football 27: Cover Athlete」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Colin Simmons 以 9,250% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Malachi Toney(9,200%),以及 Dante Moore(9,150%)。该市场总成交量已达 $375,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
