Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

$263.6K Vol
2026年8月25日
Active
概率趋势
PuckChamp 100.0%
Nemiga Gaming 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Match Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $263.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Match Winner (9,995%):Match Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $136.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 2.5 Games 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Beat Roshan 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Ends in Daytime (5,000%)、Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,000%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Any Player Ultra Kill 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Match Winner9995.0%$136.3K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$7549995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
4Ends in Daytime5000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Beat Roshan5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Barracks5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Ultra Kill5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Rampage5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan50.0%50¢50¢
10Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%$550¢50¢
11Any Player Rampage50.0%$550¢50¢
12Ends in Daytime50.0%$850¢50¢
13Both Teams Destroy Barracks50.0%50¢50¢
14Any Player Ultra Kill50.0%$550¢50¢
15Any Player Rampage50.0%$550¢50¢
16Game 2 Winner5.0%$151.1K95¢
17Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)5.0%$14395¢
18Game Handicap: PckCp (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)5.0%$3595¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PuckChamp and Nemiga Gaming in the EPL Masters Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PuckChamp" if PuckChamp win the match against Nemiga Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win the match against PuckChamp.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 25, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 25, 2026

  • 09:33 AM
    ECEC2Money
    $10.00

    Bought 17.543858 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.57

  • 09:33 AM
    LKLkszeta
    $10.00

    Bought 22.222221 PuckChamp for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.45

  • 09:31 AM
    PCpcjones
    $44.19

    Sold 44.19 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 1

  • 09:31 AM
    N3n3ono
    $5.00

    Bought 8.771927 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.57

  • 09:31 AM
    LELemou01
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222221 PuckChamp for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.45

  • 09:30 AM
    GEGeorgeRe
    $1,612.75

    Sold 1612.75 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 09:30 AM
    LLLLOTTI
    $38.35

    Sold 69.73 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.55

  • 09:30 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $97.02

    Sold 220.49 PuckChamp for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.44

  • 09:30 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222221 PuckChamp for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.45

  • 09:30 AM
    J7j7devgg
    $40.49

    Sold 73.62 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.55

  • 09:30 AM
    ALalpheclabs
    $794.33

    Sold 794.33 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 09:29 AM
    LLLLOTTI
    $7.18

    Sold 13.05 Nemiga Gaming for Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A at 0.55

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

MA1
madoka123
Event PnL
+$4.00
Volume
$8,000.00
Positions
PuckChamp
SU2
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
+$1,105.43
Volume
$6,810.03
Positions
PuckChamp
OR3
Orlandxx
Event PnL
+$3.99
Volume
$5,988.67
Positions
PuckChamp
984
0x98E1…6515
Event PnL
-$1,266.26
Volume
$5,059.42
Positions
Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming
MP5
mpoly
Event PnL
-$2,005.01
Volume
$5,000.11
Positions
Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming
F36
0xf3ce…a57a
Event PnL
-$1,723.70
Volume
$4,732.67
Positions
Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming
KE7
Kev69
Event PnL
-$1,836.48
Volume
$4,725.09
Positions
Nemiga Gaming
SU8
suntori
Event PnL
+$2,267.82
Volume
$4,327.04
Positions
PuckChamp

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $263.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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