Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - More Markets
核心摘要
根据「Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前，First Blood in Game 2? 以压倒性的 9,950% 获胜概率主导市场；Ends in Daytime 以 50% 位居第二，Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 50% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $919.2K，反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：
🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者
- First Blood in Game 2? (9,950%)：First Blood in Game 2? 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,950¢，显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者
- Ends in Daytime (50%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Ends in Daytime 保持着 50% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 50¢。
- Both Teams Beat Roshan (50%)：以 50% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Both Teams Beat Roshan 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）
在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：
- 替代选项：包括 Both Teams Destroy Barracks (50%)、Any Player Ultra Kill (50%)，以及 Any Player Rampage (50%)。
- 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes（成本） | 买入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Blood in Game 2? | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | Ends in Daytime | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Rampage | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | $5 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 10 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $402.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between Nigma Galaxy and OG, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 2, 2026
- 07:20 AMDAdarkwhitehair$1.00
Bought 1.81818 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winner at 0.55
- 07:20 AMDAdarkwhitehair$1.00
Bought 1.81818 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.55
- 07:10 AMSASashiusun$2.75
Bought 5 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.55
- 07:05 AMHAHavanaClub$1.00
Bought 1.81818 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.55
- 06:36 AMBAbarbabets$37.29
Bought 81.07 Nigma Galaxy for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.46
- 06:35 AMDOdoglover4571$4.48
Bought 8 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
- 06:20 AMGOgotthebeer$6.06
Bought 11.01818 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winner at 0.55
- 06:08 AMGOgotthebeer$4.99
Bought 9.072726 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winner at 0.55
- 05:53 AMRIRisky-One$10.00
Bought 17.85714 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
- 05:49 AMNEnewUser2025$4.50
Bought 10 Nigma Galaxy for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.45
- 05:27 AMZEzerozaky$168.00
Bought 300 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
- 05:21 AMGOgotthebeer$3.15
Bought 5.625 OG for Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - More Markets」的共识是什么？
截至最新更新，First Blood in Game 2? 以 9,950% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Ends in Daytime（50%），以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan（50%）。该市场总成交量已达 $919.2K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。