Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

$421K Vol
2026年8月30日
Active
概率趋势
Natus Vincere 100.0%
MOUZ 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,No 以压倒性的 9,005% 获胜概率主导市场;Yes 以 995% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $421K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • No (9,005%):No 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,005¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Yes (995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Yes 保持着 995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 995¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1No9005.0%9005¢-8905¢
2Yes995.0%995¢-895¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and MOUZ in the BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against MOUZ.

This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Natus Vincere.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 30, 2026

  • 09:25 AM
    SHShaunNew
    $7.90

    Bought 10 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.79

  • 09:17 AM
    SHShaunNew
    $87.00

    Bought 100 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.87

  • 09:15 AM
    NInigiri99
    $64.17

    Bought 279 MOUZ for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner at 0.23

  • 09:03 AM
    $7.00

    Bought 50 MOUZ for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.14

  • 09:03 AM
    $2.10

    Bought 15 MOUZ for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.14

  • 09:03 AM
    $2.10

    Bought 15 MOUZ for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.14

  • 09:03 AM
    $2.10

    Bought 15 MOUZ for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.14

  • 08:59 AM
    SHShaunNew
    $172.00

    Bought 200 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.86

  • 08:59 AM
    $6.72

    Bought 48 MOUZ for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.14

  • 08:53 AM
    IZizowooi-naver
    $5.02

    Bought 5.84 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.86

  • 08:50 AM
    02027k
    $6.02

    Bought 7 Natus Vincere for Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs at 0.86

  • 08:43 AM
    WWwwvibe
    $9.40

    Bought 26.865713 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.35

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,No 以 9,005% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Yes(995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $421K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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