Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - More Markets

$165.2K Vol
2026年7月31日
Active
概率趋势
LGD Gaming 50.5%
GamerLegion 49.5%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，Ends in Daytime 以压倒性的 5,250% 获胜概率主导市场；Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 5,250% 位居第二，Any Player Rampage 以 5,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $165.2K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • Ends in Daytime (5,250%)：Ends in Daytime 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,250¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (5,250%)：作为最可行的替代选项，Both Teams Beat Roshan 保持着 5,250% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,250¢。
  • Any Player Rampage (5,250%)：以 5,250% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Any Player Rampage 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队：长尾选项（合计约 0%）

在前三名之外，还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低，但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲：

  • 替代选项：包括 Game 1 Winner (5,050%)、Game 2 Winner (5,050%)，以及 Any Player Ultra Kill (4,850%)。
  • 投机成交：尽管统计概率偏低，像 Both Teams Destroy Barracks 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1Ends in Daytime5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
2Both Teams Beat Roshan5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
3Any Player Rampage5250.0%$305250¢-5150¢
4Game 1 Winner5050.0%$165.6K5050¢-4950¢
5Game 2 Winner5050.0%$4.8K5050¢-4950¢
6Any Player Ultra Kill4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
7Both Teams Destroy Barracks4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
8Ends in Daytime4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
9Both Teams Beat Roshan4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
10Both Teams Destroy Barracks4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
11First Blood in Game 2?4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
14Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
16Any Player Rampage4650.0%$304650¢-4550¢
17Any Player Ultra Kill4550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
18First Blood in Game 1?4500.0%—4500¢-4400¢

裁决规则

More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between LGD Gaming and GamerLegion, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Jul 31, 2026

  • 08:08 AM
    QAqazxcdews
    $8.94

    Bought 13.55 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.66

  • 08:08 AM
    WEwewer
    $9.30

    Bought 10 No for Game 2: Any Player Rampage? at 0.93

  • 08:03 AM
    HAhanbinlala
    $34.30

    Bought 98 GamerLegion for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.35

  • 08:02 AM
    HAhanbinlala
    $105.00

    Bought 300 GamerLegion for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.35

  • 08:02 AM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $2.57

    Bought 3.95 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.65

  • 08:02 AM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $16.90

    Bought 26 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.65

  • 08:02 AM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $17.55

    Bought 27 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.65

  • 08:02 AM
    HAhanbinlala
    $155.07

    Bought 443.05 GamerLegion for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.35

  • 08:02 AM
    HAhanbinlala
    $70.00

    Bought 200 GamerLegion for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.35

  • 08:01 AM
    HAhanbinlala
    $35.00

    Bought 100 GamerLegion for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.35

  • 08:01 AM
    ——
    $2.76

    Bought 4.1194 LGD Gaming for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.67

  • 08:01 AM
    HAhanbinlala
    $34.00

    Bought 100 GamerLegion for Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner at 0.34

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

SP1
Spicer
Event PnL
-$207.16
Volume
$78,162.14
Positions
GamerLegion
SU2
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
-$2,271.60
Volume
$19,578.05
Positions
LGD GamingLGD Gaming
E13
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
-$2,036.22
Volume
$17,594.11
Positions
LGD Gaming
KE4
keepmyheadup
Event PnL
-$1,015.98
Volume
$9,676.01
Positions
LGD Gaming
HE5
0xheavy888
Event PnL
+$10.53
Volume
$5,227.32
Positions
LGD Gaming
BE6
Bet-Vitya
Event PnL
-$564.69
Volume
$4,539.99
Positions
LGD Gaming
AR7
arongarongarong
Event PnL
-$482.69
Volume
$3,651.83
Positions
LGD Gaming
MO8
mostobesegoldfish
Event PnL
+$393.05
Volume
$3,641.84
Positions
GamerLegionGamerLegion

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - More Markets」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，Ends in Daytime 以 5,250% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 Both Teams Beat Roshan（5,250%），以及 Any Player Rampage（5,250%）。该市场总成交量已达 $165.2K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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