Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets

$1.2M Vol
2026年8月2日
Active
概率趋势
Team Falcons 100.0%
1win 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Game 2 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 以 9,950% 位居第二,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1.2M,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $718.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 保持着 9,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,950¢。
  • Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%):以 9,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Beat Roshan 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 First Blood in Game 2? (9,000%)、Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,000%),以及 Ends in Daytime (1,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Barracks 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$718.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
3Both Teams Beat Roshan9000.0%$1109000¢-8900¢
4First Blood in Game 2?9000.0%$559000¢-8900¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?9000.0%$1109000¢-8900¢
6Ends in Daytime1000.0%1000¢-900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Barracks1000.0%$1101000¢-900¢
8Any Player Ultra Kill1000.0%$1101000¢-900¢
9Any Player Rampage1000.0%1000¢-900¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?1000.0%1000¢-900¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50.0%50¢50¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?50.0%50¢50¢

裁决规则

More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between Team Falcons and 1win, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 2, 2026

  • 02:03 AM
    YUyuanbaodemama
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winner at 0.64

  • 12:56 AM
    NAnaesnny17
    $4.98

    Bought 13.108973 1win for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.38

  • 12:56 AM
    NAnaesnny17
    $4.98

    Bought 13.108973 1win for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winner at 0.38

Aug 1, 2026

  • 09:22 PM
    DNDniwe1
    $41.58

    Bought 63 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winner at 0.66

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

E11
0xE16D…0592
Event PnL
-$66,438.95
Volume
$322,745.06
Positions
1win1win
CO2
CORGI8
Event PnL
-$33,505.19
Volume
$73,092.06
Positions
1win1win
CC3
cc9999
Event PnL
+$32.06
Volume
$64,112.24
Positions
Team Falcons
JU4
junifund1
Event PnL
-$16,039.64
Volume
$42,199.74
Positions
1win1win
CA5
canoflanagan
Event PnL
+$21,841.95
Volume
$38,606.80
Positions
Team Falcons
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$11,904.09
Volume
$28,641.97
Positions
Team Falcons
GX7
gxxyy
Event PnL
-$20,311.79
Volume
$27,018.55
Positions
1win
DA8
daidaihaofei
Event PnL
-$237.50
Volume
$25,000.00
Positions
1win

常见问题

当前市场对「Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?(9,950%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan(9,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $1.2M,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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