
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets
核心摘要
根据「Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Game 2 Winner 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 以 9,950% 位居第二,Both Teams Beat Roshan 以 9,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1.2M,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Game 2 Winner (9,995%):Game 2 Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $718.3K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (9,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 保持着 9,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,950¢。
- Both Teams Beat Roshan (9,000%):以 9,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Both Teams Beat Roshan 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 First Blood in Game 2? (9,000%)、Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? (9,000%),以及 Ends in Daytime (1,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Both Teams Destroy Barracks 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $718.3K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Beat Roshan | 9000.0% | $110 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 4 | First Blood in Game 2? | 9000.0% | $55 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 9000.0% | $110 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 6 | Ends in Daytime | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1000.0% | $110 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Ultra Kill | 1000.0% | $110 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 9 | Any Player Rampage | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
裁决规则
More markets for the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series between Team Falcons and 1win, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 2, 2026
- 02:03 AMYUyuanbaodemama$1.00
Bought 1.5625 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winner at 0.64
- 12:56 AMNAnaesnny17$4.98
Bought 13.108973 1win for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 2 Winner at 0.38
- 12:56 AMNAnaesnny17$4.98
Bought 13.108973 1win for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winner at 0.38
Aug 1, 2026
- 09:22 PMDNDniwe1$41.58
Bought 63 Team Falcons for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winner at 0.66
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - More Markets」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Game 2 Winner 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?(9,950%),以及 Both Teams Beat Roshan(9,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $1.2M,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
