
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D
核心摘要
根据「Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 以压倒性的 6,350% 获胜概率主导市场;Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs Wildcard (+6.5) 以 4,200% 位居第二,Match Winner 以 1,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $9.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (6,350%):Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,350¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs Wildcard (+6.5) (4,200%):作为最可行的替代选项,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs Wildcard (+6.5) 保持着 4,200% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 4,200¢。
- Match Winner (1,750%):以 1,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Match Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 2 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs Wildcard (+6.5) | 4200.0% | — | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 3 | Match Winner | 1750.0% | $9.7K | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Wildcard and FURIA in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 12 at 3:10PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Wildcard" if Wildcard win the match against FURIA.
This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Wildcard.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 10, 2026
- 08:44 AMCAcarmelasoprano1$528.90
Bought 645 FURIA for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.82
- 07:40 AMCKckteam04$15.00
Bought 78.947367 Wildcard for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.19
- 07:40 AM——$10.00
Bought 52.631577 Wildcard for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.19
- 07:40 AMAIaiufh983hfoidsa$76.86
Bought 93.731705 FURIA for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.82
- 07:36 AMAIaiufh983hfoidsa$78.73
Bought 94.855417 FURIA for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.83
- 07:35 AM——$10.00
Bought 52.631577 Wildcard for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.19
- 07:35 AMCKckteam04$12.26
Bought 68.11111 Wildcard for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.18
- 07:35 AMCKckteam04$2.73
Bought 14.36842 Wildcard for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.19
- 07:35 AMAIaiufh983hfoidsa$78.73
Bought 93.726187 FURIA for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.84
- 07:33 AMAIaiufh983hfoidsa$232.98
Bought 277.357137 FURIA for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.84
- 07:15 AM0X0x4eb25053128265521924D461C36020C158FD2126-1779844196672$1.80
Bought 10 Wildcard for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.18
- 07:04 AMAIaiufh983hfoidsa$87.37
Bought 104.0127 FURIA for Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.84
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FURIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 以 6,350% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-6.5) vs Wildcard (+6.5)(4,200%),以及 Match Winner(1,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $9.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
