Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

$83.4K Vol
2026年8月27日
Active
概率趋势
Vitality 86.5%
Inner Circle Esports 13.5%

核心摘要

根据「Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Match Winner 以压倒性的 8,650% 获胜概率主导市场;Map 2 Winner 以 8,050% 位居第二,Map 1 Winner 以 7,750% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $83.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Match Winner (8,650%):Match Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,650¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $55.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Map 2 Winner (8,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,Map 2 Winner 保持着 8,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,050¢。
  • Map 1 Winner (7,750%):以 7,750% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 1 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) (6,350%)、Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) (6,350%),以及 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) (5,850%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5) 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Match Winner8650.0%$55.5K8650¢-8550¢
2Map 2 Winner8050.0%$8028050¢-7950¢
3Map 1 Winner7750.0%$1.3K7750¢-7650¢
4Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)6350.0%$23.1K6350¢-6250¢
5Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)6350.0%6350¢-6250¢
6Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)5850.0%$85850¢-5750¢
7Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+3.5)5450.0%$215450¢-5350¢
8Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54450.0%$54450¢-4350¢
9Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54050.0%$184050¢-3950¢
10Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
11Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5)3750.0%$83750¢-3650¢
12O/U 2.5 Games3050.0%$2.7K3050¢-2950¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Vitality and Inner Circle Esports in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against Inner Circle Esports.

This market will resolve to "Inner Circle Esports" if Inner Circle Esports win the match against Vitality.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 26, 2026

  • 09:23 PM
    WEwesquezz
    $100.00

    Bought 156.25 Vitality for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 09:15 PM
    HEheypol1
    $19.00

    Bought 51.35135 Inner Circle Esports for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 09:15 PM
    $3.18

    Bought 4.97 Vitality for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 09:07 PM
    KIkisulin
    $2.00

    Bought 3.125 Vitality for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 09:04 PM
    YOYOONSS
    $120.75

    Bought 326.35 Inner Circle Esports for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 09:04 PM
    6S6s0o2a9w6lh9
    $3.50

    Bought 5.46875 Vitality for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0xb5527654d309c6617addabbb64e47931cf35b70c-1783406016141
    $1.80

    Bought 2.068961 Vitality for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.87

  • 08:35 PM
    TAtajar
    $50.00

    Bought 78.125 Vitality for Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 08:35 PM
    CScs2nutskolten
    $10.00

    Bought 14.492751 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.69

  • 08:31 PM
    NUnuswiss
    $104.40

    Bought 120 Vitality for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.87

  • 08:30 PM
    0X0x722DFD019714c0eEb137bdcA45A4b88406F589B9-1777920679643
    $2.00

    Bought 14.285713 Inner Circle Esports for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.14

  • 08:23 PM
    DWDW888
    $20.00

    Bought 142.857141 Inner Circle Esports for Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B at 0.14

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

IF1
ifpl
Event PnL
-$51.43
Volume
$27,697.04
Positions
Inner Circle Esports
CO2
Coach99
Event PnL
+$82.30
Volume
$16,459.99
Positions
Vitality
293
0x29b5…63d7
Event PnL
-$38.23
Volume
$7,646.95
Positions
Vitality
ZO4
ZoeGarma
Event PnL
-$36.57
Volume
$7,314.52
Positions
Inner Circle Esports
CS5
csgod
Event PnL
-$8.03
Volume
$4,014.29
Positions
Inner Circle Esports
HA6
HalfCash
Event PnL
+$6.74
Volume
$3,735.79
Positions
Inner Circle Esports
NO7
nothingtoint
Event PnL
-$15.66
Volume
$3,533.37
Positions
Inner Circle Esports
IC8
icclic
Event PnL
+$15.07
Volume
$3,013.69
Positions
Vitality

常见问题

当前市场对「Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 8,650% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Map 2 Winner(8,050%),以及 Map 1 Winner(7,750%)。该市场总成交量已达 $83.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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