Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

$117.5K Vol
2026年8月13日
Active
概率趋势
Natus Vincere 79.5%
3DMAX 20.5%

核心摘要

根据「Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Match Winner 以压倒性的 7,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 以 5,050% 位居第二,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5) 以 4,100% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $117.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Match Winner (7,950%):Match Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $117.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 (5,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 保持着 5,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,050¢。
  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5) (4,100%):以 4,100% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5) 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Match Winner7950.0%$117.5K7950¢-7850¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
3Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)4100.0%4100¢-4000¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and 3DMAX in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against 3DMAX.

This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win the match against Natus Vincere.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 10, 2026

  • 08:38 AM
    VAvasykdue
    $496.00

    Bought 620 Natus Vincere for Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.8

  • 08:38 AM
    66666666666555551544
    $496.00

    Bought 620 Natus Vincere for Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.8

  • 08:05 AM
    ONOniec
    $1.00

    Bought 1.25 Natus Vincere for Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.8

  • 06:59 AM
    AIaiufh983hfoidsa
    $236.52

    Bought 288.439022 Natus Vincere for Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.82

  • 06:38 AM
    AIaiufh983hfoidsa
    $234.14

    Bought 285.536583 Natus Vincere for Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.82

  • 06:01 AM
    0X0x4857Fc6a088f10cFD438939260b2Ffa75164600e-1773454912156
    $14.00

    Bought 16.279064 Natus Vincere for Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.86

  • 05:25 AM
    AIaiufh983hfoidsa
    $225.13

    Bought 268.016187 Natus Vincere for Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.84

  • 05:15 AM
    0X0x4eb25053128265521924D461C36020C158FD2126-1779844196672
    $2.50

    Bought 11.90476 3DMAX for Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.21

  • 04:44 AM
    0X0x98A55c8c58C9B5884F84ad31F5cA7E590F5fDE1b-1780325895195
    $1.00

    Bought 1.149423 Natus Vincere for Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.87

  • 12:14 AM
    ALAlexTiger
    $2.00

    Bought 5.263156 3DMAX for Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.38

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

LL1
lllllllIlll
Event PnL
+$19.76
Volume
$100,201.51
Positions
3DMAX
ST2
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$233.62
Volume
$94,260.62
Positions
Natus Vincere
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
-$39.06
Volume
$7,812.50
Positions
3DMAX
CA4
carmelasoprano1
Event PnL
-$7.35
Volume
$6,945.00
Positions
Natus Vincere
LI5
LinkerAmAM
Event PnL
-$26.50
Volume
$5,300.00
Positions
Natus Vincere
AU6
Auramemnon
Event PnL
-$12.70
Volume
$2,541.44
Positions
Natus Vincere
JO7
JohnnyWins
Event PnL
+$12.33
Volume
$2,500.00
Positions
3DMAX
ST8
Stickman22
Event PnL
+$12.50
Volume
$2,499.99
Positions
3DMAX

常见问题

当前市场对「Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 7,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5(5,050%),以及 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)(4,100%)。该市场总成交量已达 $117.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始