Qatar vs. China

$90.1K Vol
2026年9月3日
Active
概率趋势
China 100.0%
Qatar 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Qatar vs. China」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，China (-15.5) 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场；O/U 166.5 以 45% 位居第二，Qatar vs. China 以 5% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $90.1K，反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

  • China (-15.5) (9,995%)：China (-15.5) 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢，显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $33.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

  • O/U 166.5 (45%)：作为最可行的替代选项，O/U 166.5 保持着 45% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 45¢。
  • Qatar vs. China (5%)：以 5% 的概率位列第三，市场对 Qatar vs. China 持谨慎怀疑态度，除非势头转变，否则视其为外围黑马。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解：

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes（成本）买入 No（成本）
1China (-15.5)9995.0%$33.8K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 166.545.0%$1.1K45¢55¢
3Qatar vs. China5.0%$55.2K5¢95¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for August 27 at 6:00AM ET:

If the Qatar win, the market will resolve to "Qatar".

If the China win, the market will resolve to "China".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 27, 2026

  • 09:24 AM
    PRpredict008
    $14.43

    Bought 27.75 China for Spread: China (-15.5) at 0.52

  • 09:23 AM
    PRpredict008
    $48.23

    Bought 92.75 China for Spread: China (-15.5) at 0.52

  • 09:23 AM
    PRpredict008
    $144.40

    Bought 283.146922 China for Spread: China (-15.5) at 0.51

  • 08:29 AM
    SUsuntori
    $23.05

    Bought 26.49 Under for Qatar vs. China: O/U 166.5 at 0.87

  • 08:29 AM
    SUsuntori
    $30.52

    Bought 59.843136 Qatar for Spread: China (-15.5) at 0.51

  • 07:53 AM
    TRtraderoffical
    $1.86

    Bought 14.29 Qatar for Qatar vs. China at 0.13

  • 07:48 AM
    FUFuzzydog
    $5.00

    Bought 38.461537 Qatar for Qatar vs. China at 0.13

  • 07:45 AM
    0X0xE5d2Eb130304f714CCdB1158Cce66564b5740814-1770145113534
    $4.87

    Bought 9.938774 Qatar for Spread: China (-15.5) at 0.49

  • 07:41 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $4.47

    Sold 8.59 Qatar for Spread: China (-15.5) at 0.52

  • 07:41 AM
    EVEVryBet3
    $2.35

    Bought 5 China for Spread: China (-15.5) at 0.47

  • 07:40 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $40.50

    Sold 75 Qatar for Spread: China (-15.5) at 0.54

  • 07:22 AM
    0X0xB52f7fF99a6476DFabD3dE0689aAA2fF0fCEF3a8-1783350736219
    $1.00

    Bought 1.81818 Qatar for Spread: China (-15.5) at 0.55

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

LA1
laozishudaosan
Event PnL
-$12,233.72
Volume
$26,387.70
Positions
Qatar
LF2
lfh1688
Event PnL
+$7,971.48
Volume
$18,031.48
Positions
ChinaChinaUnder
BB3
bbb17367162806
Event PnL
+$59.88
Volume
$17,399.62
Positions
Qatar
LZ4
lzh1
Event PnL
+$3,755.99
Volume
$7,999.99
Positions
China
CO5
comon119
Event PnL
-$29.98
Volume
$6,000.26
Positions
China
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$85.82
Volume
$4,236.06
Positions
ChinaChina
LO7
loykins
Event PnL
-$386.56
Volume
$3,886.25
Positions
Qatar
MA8
mattjay
Event PnL
-$30.01
Volume
$3,723.15
Positions
ChinaOver

常见问题

当前市场对「Qatar vs. China」的共识是什么？

截至最新更新，China (-15.5) 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑，其次是 O/U 166.5（45%），以及 Qatar vs. China（5%）。该市场总成交量已达 $90.1K，显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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