
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti
核心摘要
根据「Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 7,950% 获胜概率主导市场;Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 以 5,550% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $111.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,950%):Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,950¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 (5,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 保持着 5,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,550¢。
- Completed Match (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Completed Match 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)、Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%),以及 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 7950.0% | — | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 2 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 | 5550.0% | $119 | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 3 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | $29 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 22.5 | 4900.0% | $9 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 9 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4500.0% | $625 | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 10 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 23.5 | 4200.0% | $17 | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 11 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 3900.0% | $208 | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 12 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner | 3850.0% | $164 | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 13 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner | 3650.0% | — | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 14 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti | 3150.0% | $124.0K | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 15 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 3000.0% | $5 | 3000¢ | -2900¢ |
| 16 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1700.0% | $625 | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Lorenzo Musetti in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Lorenzo Musetti.
This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Aleksandar Vukic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Jul 29, 2026
- 08:05 AMJTJT13$110.00
Bought 154.929575 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 07:57 AMMIMikeHorak$5.00
Bought 7.042251 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 07:33 AMDRdreamland0808$22.05
Bought 31.05 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 07:08 AM——$4.38
Bought 6.169013 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 06:46 AMHLhldamico$5.46
Bought 7.690137 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 06:38 AM0X0x99873C5Baaba79EAE554534b3C8FD2ba14991369-1772781021315$1.00
Bought 1.408448 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 06:35 AMNEnemed$1.00
Bought 1.408448 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 06:35 AM——$4.15
Bought 5 Musetti for Set Handicap: Vukic (-1.5) vs Musetti (+1.5) at 0.83
- 06:30 AMLOlorekeeper51799$76.01
Bought 107.056337 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 06:18 AM0X0x66f68D28Eee434d97B3f464dB4B555867f5C5bF2-1731676588106$3.46
Bought 4.873237 Lorenzo Musetti for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.71
- 06:13 AMSUsuntori$18.40
Sold 63.46 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.29
- 06:09 AM0X0x47384d7AEf2aC6Daa9a459a9261668D7e4f79CfB-1776632770211$20.10
Bought 67 Aleksandar Vukic for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.3
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,950% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5(5,550%),以及 Completed Match(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $111.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
