National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

$47.4K Vol
2026年8月17日
Active
概率趋势
Learner Tien 68.5%
Thiago Agustin Tirante 31.5%

核心摘要

根据「National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante 以压倒性的 6,850% 获胜概率主导市场;National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 6,550% 位居第二,National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner 以 6,350% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $47.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (6,850%):National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,850¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $40.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,550%):作为最可行的替代选项,National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.5 保持着 6,550% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,550¢。
  • National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner (6,350%):以 6,350% 的概率位列第三,市场对 National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 Winner (6,300%)、National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 21.5 (5,450%),以及 Completed Match (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante6850.0%$40.2K6850¢-6750¢
2National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.56550.0%6550¢-6450¢
3National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner6350.0%$7.1K6350¢-6250¢
4National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 Winner6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
5National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 21.55450.0%5450¢-5350¢
6Completed Match5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 22.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
11National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set Handicap +/-1.54400.0%$424400¢-4300¢
12National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Match O/U 23.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
13National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Total Sets: O/U 2.53900.0%$573900¢-3800¢
14National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 9.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
15National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 10.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante.

This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Learner Tien.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 8, 2026

  • 08:47 PM
    CHchuhen
    $5.00

    Bought 15.625 Thiago Agustin Tirante for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.32

  • 08:42 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 15.625 Thiago Agustin Tirante for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.32

  • 08:31 PM
    $8.56

    Bought 12.41 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.69

  • 08:30 PM
    0X0x76f2ee870089a09A67c7423f6771e216A7F89C52-1773485091783
    $2.57

    Sold 3.78 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.68

  • 08:30 PM
    $1.50

    Bought 2.173912 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.69

  • 07:32 PM
    0X0x76f2ee870089a09A67c7423f6771e216A7F89C52-1773485091783
    $2.61

    Bought 3.782606 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.69

  • 06:24 PM
    STStupidGamble
    $3.45

    Bought 5 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.69

  • 06:23 PM
    HUhunter1010
    $7.58

    Bought 10.99 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.69

  • 06:23 PM
    KAkabina-
    $30.78

    Bought 44.61 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.69

  • 06:23 PM
    KLkl7j44ddsnv
    $7.70

    Bought 11.159419 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.69

  • 06:23 PM
    DVdv-pm
    $1,516.90

    Bought 2230.73 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.68

  • 06:22 PM
    0X0x22555C6Fc23A5BBCdCb36c43c2D7b141EefF737f-1780387728582
    $1.04

    Bought 1.529409 Learner Tien for National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 0.68

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

9F1
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
+$309.73
Volume
$12,389.21
Positions
Thiago Agustin Tirante
322
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$71.11
Volume
$4,740.91
Positions
Learner Tien
LO3
lobbb1
Event PnL
-$21.81
Volume
$4,690.06
Positions
Tien
SW4
swisstony
Event PnL
-$20.35
Volume
$3,802.94
Positions
Learner Tien
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$19.92
Volume
$3,361.35
Positions
Tirante
K56
k56
Event PnL
-$15.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
Learner Tien
997
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$2.62
Volume
$2,290.99
Positions
Tirante
ED8
Eddd1x
Event PnL
+$11.31
Volume
$2,262.50
Positions
Thiago Agustin Tirante

常见问题

当前市场对「National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante 以 6,850% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 O/U 8.5(6,550%),以及 National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Set 1 Winner(6,350%)。该市场总成交量已达 $47.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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