
Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill
核心摘要
根据「Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 7,500% 获胜概率主导市场;Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill 以 5,950% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $151.5K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,500%):Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,500¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill (5,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill 保持着 5,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,950¢。
- Completed Match (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Completed Match 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 Winner (5,000%)、Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 Winner (5,000%),以及 Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 7500.0% | — | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 2 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill | 5950.0% | $150.6K | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 3 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 Winner | 5000.0% | $288 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Match O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | $60 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | $23 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | $258 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Match O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | $258 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Match O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Colton Smith and Felix Gill in the Brownsburg, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Colton Smith' if Colton Smith advances against Felix Gill.
This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Colton Smith.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 11, 2026
- 08:34 PMABAbdou1616$4.88
Sold 12.19 Felix Gill for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.4
- 08:32 PM0X0x1036FDdD82610f06E71E997a01a605a2b2454128-1782131158798$10.00
Bought 16.666665 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.6
- 08:30 PMSKskyline-$10.17
Sold 17.24 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.59
- 08:29 PM——$1.94
Sold 3.29 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.59
- 08:27 PMLLlluism2$2.00
Sold 5 Felix Gill for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.4
- 08:26 PMRURu386$100.00
Bought 166.666665 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.6
- 08:26 PM0X0x9e49D8AA2F955e6Acf0B41723d75054F9ADD421E-1765511342307$1.96
Sold 3.33 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.59
- 08:20 PMANAntoRob$10.00
Bought 16.666665 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.6
- 08:17 PMBEbettrade$1.00
Bought 2.439023 Felix Gill for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.41
- 08:14 PM0X0x9e49D8AA2F955e6Acf0B41723d75054F9ADD421E-1765511342307$2.00
Bought 3.333332 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.6
- 08:03 PMTETemakenward$1.00
Sold 1.69 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.59
- 08:02 PMTHThreeFives$12.20
Sold 20.68 Colton Smith for Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill at 0.59
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,500% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Brownsburg: Colton Smith vs Felix Gill(5,950%),以及 Completed Match(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $151.5K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
