Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta

$336.9K Vol
2026年8月23日
Active
概率趋势
Andrey Rublev 99.2%
Pablo Carreno Busta 0.8%

核心摘要

根据「Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta 以压倒性的 9,850% 获胜概率主导市场;Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner 以 9,700% 位居第二,Completed Match 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $336.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta (9,850%):Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,850¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $347.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner (9,700%):作为最可行的替代选项,Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner 保持着 9,700% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,700¢。
  • Completed Match (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Completed Match 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%)、Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta9850.0%$347.5K9850¢-9750¢
2Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner9700.0%9700¢-9600¢
3Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%$985000¢-4900¢
5Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$9335000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
10Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.52200.0%$1952200¢-2100¢
11Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.51900.0%$4961900¢-1800¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.

This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Andrey Rublev.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:44 PM
    GAgavnol
    $65.00

    Bought 100 Over for Rublev vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.65

  • 08:38 PM
    PRPrison-Mike
    $2.00

    Bought 2.985072 Rublev for Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 08:38 PM
    WIwiedzmin305
    $92.59

    Sold 92.59 Rublev for Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Busta at 1

  • 08:38 PM
    0X0xfE61718AcE076c3192be830c33d4dB7Af9D7d74F-1769134464855
    $5.28

    Bought 44 Under for Rublev vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.12

  • 08:37 PM
    0X0xfE61718AcE076c3192be830c33d4dB7Af9D7d74F-1769134464855
    $5.72

    Bought 44 Under for Rublev vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.13

  • 08:37 PM
    121218643610
    $1.20

    Bought 5.454544 Pablo Carreno Busta for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.22

  • 08:36 PM
    ZUzusu
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 Andrey Rublev for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 08:36 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.20

    Bought 5 Pablo Carreno Busta for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.24

  • 08:36 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.10

    Bought 5 Pablo Carreno Busta for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.22

  • 08:36 PM
    THthestingsnake
    $2.30

    Bought 10 Pablo Carreno Busta for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.23

  • 08:35 PM
    SLSlevinos
    $5.00

    Bought 19.230768 Pablo Carreno Busta for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.26

  • 08:35 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 7.692306 Pablo Carreno Busta for Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.26

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

TE1
TennisLove
Event PnL
-$256.77
Volume
$84,953.36
Positions
Andrey Rublev
AV2
AV23IUa
Event PnL
+$7,250.22
Volume
$49,999.98
Positions
Andrey Rublev
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$74.87
Volume
$29,128.50
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
KA4
kamloic
Event PnL
+$2,684.20
Volume
$25,064.18
Positions
Andrey Rublev
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$682.93
Volume
$24,205.14
Positions
Pablo Carreno BustaRublev
0X6
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
-$1,048.38
Volume
$16,128.99
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$24.39
Volume
$13,673.38
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
RN8
RN1
Event PnL
+$27.66
Volume
$12,944.05
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta

常见问题

当前市场对「Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta 以 9,850% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner(9,700%),以及 Completed Match(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $336.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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