Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia

$79K Vol
2026年8月20日
Active
概率趋势
Nicolas Mejia 76.5%
Henrique Rocha 23.5%

核心摘要

根据「Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 9,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $79K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,995%):Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,950%):以 9,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 23.5 (5,650%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Total Sets: O/U 2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
3Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
4Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 23.55650.0%$25650¢-5550¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 21.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%$65000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$325000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Match O/U 22.55000.0%$195000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 2 Winner4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
14Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia2450.0%$81.4K2450¢-2350¢
15Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 Winner50.0%$1.3K50¢50¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Nicolas Mejia in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 12:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Nicolas Mejia.

This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Henrique Rocha.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AV1
AV23IUa
Event PnL
+$571.48
Volume
$14,284.72
Positions
Nicolas Mejia
HA2
halomango
Event PnL
+$150.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Nicolas Mejia
0X3
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
-$133.93
Volume
$8,928.56
Positions
Henrique Rocha
BA4
BaseballBill
Event PnL
-$172.31
Volume
$8,616.35
Positions
Henrique Rocha
DA5
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6
Event PnL
+$255.33
Volume
$6,382.98
Positions
Nicolas Mejia
326
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$235.51
Volume
$5,887.68
Positions
Henrique Rocha
FE7
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$119.10
Volume
$4,764.38
Positions
Henrique Rocha
MA8
marketmesh
Event PnL
+$69.79
Volume
$4,548.98
Positions
Nicolas Mejia

常见问题

当前市场对「Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 10.5(9,995%),以及 Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejia Set 1 O/U 8.5(9,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $79K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始