Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

$1.2M Vol
2026年8月23日
Active
概率趋势
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 100.0%
Arthur Rinderknech 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $1.2M,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%):Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $83 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%)、Completed Match (9,950%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (5%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.59995.0%$839995¢-9895¢
2Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.59995.0%$4629995¢-9895¢
3Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.59995.0%$1149995¢-9895¢
4Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 23.59995.0%$1239995¢-9895¢
5Completed Match9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
6Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo5.0%$1.2M95¢
7Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$22995¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Arthur Rinderknech.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 16, 2026

  • 08:37 PM
    $3.00

    Sold 3 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 1

  • 08:37 PM
    FEfefef2221
    $17.47

    Sold 17.47 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 1

  • 08:37 PM
    $4.00

    Sold 4 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 1

  • 08:37 PM
    $5.00

    Sold 5 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 1

  • 08:36 PM
    VVVvladS
    $140.00

    Sold 140 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 1

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0x5F659BcCBC353dBf7BcdffDEE73beE60bB482036-1780496231400
    $11,519.02

    Sold 11519.02 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 1

  • 08:35 PM
    BRbreadjr
    $185.59

    Sold 185.59 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 1

  • 08:35 PM
    $28.26

    Sold 28.26 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 1

  • 08:35 PM
    HYHyunglovehisfam
    $18.21

    Sold 18.21 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 1

  • 08:34 PM
    IRirpebrz
    $321.73

    Sold 321.73 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 1

  • 08:34 PM
    SIsilvinek
    $229.98

    Sold 229.98 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 1

  • 08:33 PM
    LELeDbenef
    $141.74

    Sold 141.74 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 1

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$14,906.38
Volume
$106,599.53
Positions
Arthur Rinderknech
072
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
-$1,597.99
Volume
$72,499.70
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$2,288.73
Volume
$69,879.34
Positions
Arthur Rinderknech
AV4
AV23IUa
Event PnL
+$856.60
Volume
$50,000.00
Positions
Arthur Rinderknech
AR5
ArturitoFilito
Event PnL
-$2,068.77
Volume
$41,429.20
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$2,174.20
Volume
$37,965.50
Positions
Juan Manuel CerundoloOverOver+1
HB7
HBAFlover98
Event PnL
+$375.00
Volume
$37,500.00
Positions
Arthur Rinderknech
CO8
CoinTrick
Event PnL
-$11,282.85
Volume
$35,168.91
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo

常见问题

当前市场对「Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5(9,995%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $1.2M,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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