Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli

$50.3K Vol
2026年8月28日
Active
概率趋势
Tommy Paul 59.5%
Flavio Cobolli 40.5%

核心摘要

根据「Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 6,650% 获胜概率主导市场;Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 以 6,650% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli 以 5,950% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $50.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,650%):Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,650¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $26 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 (6,650%):作为最可行的替代选项,Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 保持着 6,650% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,650¢。
  • Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli (5,950%):以 5,950% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,750%)、Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner (5,650%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.5 (5,550%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.56650.0%$266650¢-6550¢
2Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.56650.0%$3006650¢-6550¢
3Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli5950.0%$41.1K5950¢-5850¢
4Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.55750.0%5750¢-5650¢
5Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner5650.0%5650¢-5550¢
6Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.55550.0%$3285550¢-5450¢
7Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
8Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 23.55150.0%$1.1K5150¢-5050¢
9Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Total Sets: O/U 2.54550.0%$7.2K4550¢-4450¢
14Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 10.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
15Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.53250.0%$83250¢-3150¢
16Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.52100.0%$82100¢-2000¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Flavio Cobolli in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Flavio Cobolli.

This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Tommy Paul.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 20, 2026

  • 09:13 AM
    VOvozduhair
    $19.47

    Bought 34.767856 Over for Paul vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.56

  • 09:03 AM
    ABabyssF
    $9.74

    Bought 23.756096 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:48 AM
    HEhephaistus
    $2.50

    Bought 6.097559 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:48 AM
    SMsmye100
    $5.00

    Bought 12.19512 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:46 AM
    IUIulik
    $72.00

    Bought 175.609755 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:36 AM
    EAeakhmetgaliev
    $25.00

    Bought 60.975608 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:22 AM
    CRcrtweb3
    $19.00

    Bought 46.341462 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:21 AM
    CRcrtweb3
    $29.00

    Bought 70.731706 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:21 AM
    JKJKRJ
    $5.00

    Bought 12.19512 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.41

  • 08:14 AM
    YOyotweee
    $6.34

    Bought 8.03 Over for Paul vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.79

  • 08:12 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $85.72

    Sold 214.3 Flavio Cobolli for Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.4

  • 08:02 AM
    YOyohan75
    $17.53

    Bought 27.82 Over for Paul vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.63

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

AG1
AGUGava
Event PnL
+$124.72
Volume
$24,917.11
Positions
Tommy Paul
SP2
spiced
Event PnL
+$13.32
Volume
$14,999.97
Positions
Flavio Cobolli
DR3
drex0o
Event PnL
-$62.36
Volume
$6,488.12
Positions
Under 2.5
994
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$44.84
Volume
$4,645.14
Positions
Over 2.5Paul
LA5
LaBagnantediMondello
Event PnL
-$17.50
Volume
$3,500.00
Positions
Flavio Cobolli
326
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$14.35
Volume
$2,870.87
Positions
Flavio Cobolli
QU7
quavoo
Event PnL
+$9.07
Volume
$1,814.00
Positions
Flavio Cobolli
RO8
romanh31
Event PnL
-$23.31
Volume
$1,554.31
Positions
Tommy Paul

常见问题

当前市场对「Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 6,650% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5(6,650%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli(5,950%)。该市场总成交量已达 $50.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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