
Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong
核心摘要
根据「Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Coleman Wong 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Alan Magadan 以 5% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $329.3K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Coleman Wong (9,995%):Coleman Wong 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Alan Magadan (5%):作为最可行的替代选项,Alan Magadan 保持着 5% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleman Wong | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Alan Magadan | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Magadan and Coleman Wong in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 5:30PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Coleman Wong.
This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Alan Magadan.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 20, 2026
- 09:25 PMFEfelicestigres$5.00
Bought 6.097555 Coleman Wong for Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong at 0.82
- 08:55 PM3333done$16.40
Bought 20 Coleman Wong for Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong at 0.82
- 08:46 PMKOkopler$16.43
Sold 53 No for Cancun: Completed Match: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong at 0.31
- 08:28 PMKOkopler$51.94
Bought 53 No for Cancun: Completed Match: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong at 0.98
- 07:50 PMKJKJ31$250.00
Bought 304.878044 Coleman Wong for Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong at 0.82
- 07:48 PMNEneutralwave23$7.93
Bought 41.736841 Alan Magadan for Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong at 0.19
- 07:22 PMERerwin01$10.00
Bought 12.195116 Coleman Wong for Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong at 0.82
- 06:45 PM0X0xd3f9A532Aaf64bd250E3B84B132b2C83152645A7-1777530870001$13.00
Bought 15.853655 Coleman Wong for Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong at 0.82
- 06:18 PMAAaaronkozinets$149.82
Bought 788.526314 Alan Magadan for Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong at 0.19
- 06:17 PMEOeoneq$55.75
Bought 293.421051 Alan Magadan for Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong at 0.19
- 05:58 PM——$2.85
Bought 15 Alan Magadan for Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong at 0.19
- 05:20 PMLOLopestheve$2.04
Sold 11.36 Alan Magadan for Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong at 0.18
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Coleman Wong 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Alan Magadan(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $329.3K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
