US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta

$430.4K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
概率趋势
Jiri Lehecka 91.5%
Pablo Carreno Busta 8.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta 以压倒性的 9,575% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 Winner 以 7,450% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 以 7,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $430.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta (9,575%):US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,575¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $385.2K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 Winner (7,450%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 Winner 保持着 7,450% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,450¢。
  • US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 (7,050%):以 7,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-5.5 (6,800%)、US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 3 Winner (6,400%),以及 US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 3 O/U 8.5 (5,500%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta9575.0%$385.2K9575¢-9475¢
2US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 Winner7450.0%$1277450¢-7350¢
3US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.57050.0%$7.6K7050¢-6950¢
4US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-5.56800.0%$136800¢-6700¢
5US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 3 Winner6400.0%$26400¢-6300¢
6US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 3 O/U 8.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
7US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-2.55350.0%$39.8K5350¢-5250¢
8Completed Match5000.0%$3575000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 36.55000.0%$1445000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 3.55000.0%$1055000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 38.55000.0%$215000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 40.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 4.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Pablo Carreno Busta in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.

This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Jiri Lehecka.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 30, 2026

  • 09:10 AM
    0X0xBaf85F5c7EEb664232339E69b3543a7c403627CF-1781448616653
    $86.00

    Bought 138.709676 Lehecka for Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) at 0.62

  • 09:06 AM
    LELemou01
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 08:49 AM
    $231.20

    Bought 372.903223 Lehecka for Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) at 0.62

  • 08:41 AM
    OVOVOXOS
    $20.00

    Bought 25.641022 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 08:32 AM
    ALAlvurdi
    $39.00

    Bought 50 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 07:47 AM
    IMImMorty
    $9.75

    Bought 12.5 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 07:07 AM
    $2.10

    Bought 2.692304 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 07:04 AM
    0X0x601975Ae00Ed76F514F5e172b2AF17c19E998CEb-1770088454099
    $2.00

    Bought 2.5641 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 06:59 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $2,209.84

    Bought 2869.92 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.77

  • 06:59 AM
    HWhwidelance
    $22.38

    Bought 28.69 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.78

  • 06:59 AM
    SEsentrio
    $567.84

    Bought 737.46 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.77

  • 06:59 AM
    SEsentrio
    $23.11

    Bought 30.01 Jiri Lehecka for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta at 0.77

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

111
11vsldfdsgfkjgos
Event PnL
+$2,072.77
Volume
$142,936.72
Positions
Jiri Lehecka
NI2
NiNo999
Event PnL
-$4,977.79
Volume
$39,647.84
Positions
Busta
0B3
0b1
Event PnL
+$1,386.01
Volume
$28,698.23
Positions
Jiri Lehecka
BA4
Bagwell306
Event PnL
+$737.50
Volume
$27,500.00
Positions
Pablo Carreno BustaLehecka
325
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$549.92
Volume
$27,456.65
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
RN6
RN1
Event PnL
-$279.93
Volume
$25,563.93
Positions
Pablo Carreno Busta
FA7
fastball67
Event PnL
+$24.01
Volume
$24,280.19
Positions
Pablo Carreno BustaBusta
2C8
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$2,455.92
Volume
$19,647.38
Positions
Lehecka

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta 以 9,575% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 4 Winner(7,450%),以及 US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5(7,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $430.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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