Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo

$77.1K Vol
2026年8月9日
Active
概率趋势
Rafael Jodar 73.5%
Alejandro Tabilo 26.5%

核心摘要

根据「Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 7,800% 获胜概率主导市场;Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo 以 6,850% 位居第二,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner 以 6,300% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $77.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,800%):Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,800¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo (6,850%):作为最可行的替代选项,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo 保持着 6,850% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,850¢。
  • Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner (6,300%):以 6,300% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 (5,700%)、Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner (5,450%),以及 Completed Match (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.57800.0%7800¢-7700¢
2Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo6850.0%$137.3K6850¢-6750¢
3Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner6300.0%$316300¢-6200¢
4Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.55700.0%$6895700¢-5600¢
5Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
6Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
10Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.54950.0%$5.0K4950¢-4850¢
12Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.54400.0%$74400¢-4300¢
13Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
14Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.54050.0%$4334050¢-3950¢
15Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.52900.0%$612900¢-2800¢
16Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.51700.0%$71700¢-1600¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Alejandro Tabilo in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alejandro Tabilo.

This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Rafael Jodar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 1, 2026

  • 08:30 PM
    BObonneville
    $5.05

    Bought 12.317072 Over 2.5 for Rafael Jodar vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.41

  • 08:20 PM
    AMamigosdeljuego
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408448 Rafael Jodar for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.71

  • 08:20 PM
    MRMrMoFoMeLLy
    $99.84

    Bought 172.135592 Over for Jodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.58

  • 08:13 PM
    AAaaronkozinets
    $80.00

    Bought 266.666665 Alejandro Tabilo for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.3

  • 08:06 PM
    MAMateoThePlug
    $5.00

    Bought 7.042251 Rafael Jodar for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.71

  • 08:03 PM
    $2.92

    Bought 4.112675 Rafael Jodar for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.71

  • 07:56 PM
    0X0x2c335066fe58fe9237c3d3dc7b275c2a034a
    $274.00

    Bought 385.915489 Rafael Jodar for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.71

  • 07:49 PM
    CUCukkoo
    $1.20

    Bought 4 Alejandro Tabilo for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.3

  • 07:45 PM
    AAaaronkozinets
    $97.50

    Bought 325 Alejandro Tabilo for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.3

  • 07:43 PM
    QUquavoo
    $19.20

    Bought 64 Alejandro Tabilo for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.3

  • 07:43 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 17.241378 Alejandro Tabilo for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.29

  • 07:43 PM
    BObotza123
    $50.87

    Bought 175.43 Alejandro Tabilo for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.29

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

201
0x2073…4273
Event PnL
+$33.99
Volume
$7,647.42
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
JT2
jtwyslljy
Event PnL
-$38.25
Volume
$7,500.00
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
SI3
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
+$105.94
Volume
$7,062.82
Positions
Rafael Jodar
RI4
riverskew
Event PnL
+$52.91
Volume
$6,972.60
Positions
Rafael Jodar
NE5
NewTeamSosed5
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$4,999.98
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
0E6
0x0eBB…3663
Event PnL
-$21.12
Volume
$4,225.35
Positions
Rafael Jodar
387
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$26.01
Volume
$3,846.62
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$17.53
Volume
$3,168.94
Positions
Rafael JodarUnder 2.5

常见问题

当前市场对「Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,800% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo(6,850%),以及 Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner(6,300%)。该市场总成交量已达 $77.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始