US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

$82.2K Vol
2026年9月3日
Active
概率趋势
Lloyd Harris 62.0%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz 38.0%

核心摘要

根据「US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz 以压倒性的 6,250% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 Winner 以 6,000% 位居第二,US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 Winner 以 5,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $82.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz (6,250%):US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,250¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $81.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 Winner (6,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 Winner 保持着 6,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,000¢。
  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 Winner (5,800%):以 5,800% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,650%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz6250.0%$81.6K6250¢-6150¢
2US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 Winner6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
3US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 Winner5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
4US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Game Spread +/-1.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 21.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
7US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 22.54650.0%$2774650¢-4550¢
14US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Match O/U 23.54200.0%$124200¢-4100¢
15US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set Handicap +/-1.54150.0%$1974150¢-4050¢
16US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Total Sets: O/U 2.53750.0%$1263750¢-3650¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Lloyd Harris and Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz.

This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Lloyd Harris.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

XA1
xabidaking
Event PnL
-$694.01
Volume
$33,583.17
Positions
Lloyd Harris
CO2
comon119
Event PnL
-$28.82
Volume
$5,999.98
Positions
Lloyd Harris
053
0x05E3…8641
Event PnL
-$93.79
Volume
$5,274.40
Positions
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$0.59
Volume
$5,193.90
Positions
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
+$125.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
GC6
GC-P
Event PnL
+$0.41
Volume
$4,901.37
Positions
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
AC7
0xacF8…1316
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$4,848.20
Positions
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
NM8
NM-P
Event PnL
+$82.87
Volume
$4,583.06
Positions
Pablo Llamas Ruiz

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz 以 6,250% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 2 Winner(6,000%),以及 US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Set 1 Winner(5,800%)。该市场总成交量已达 $82.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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