Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain

$56.4K Vol
2026年8月27日
Active
概率趋势
Lucas Poullain 100.0%
Michael Geerts 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5 以 9,995% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $56.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Completed Match (9,995%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%):作为最可行的替代选项,Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5 保持着 9,995% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 9,995¢。
  • Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%):以 9,995% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%)、Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%),以及 Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain (5%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Completed Match9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.59995.0%$159995¢-9895¢
3Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
4Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 22.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
5Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 23.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
6Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain5.0%$119.9K95¢
7Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$795¢
8Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$795¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Lucas Poullain in the Roehampton, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Lucas Poullain.

This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Michael Geerts.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 20, 2026

  • 09:06 AM
    SHshadowMacMini2
    $2.00

    Bought 4.25 Michael Geerts for Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain at 0.47

  • 09:01 AM
    XMxmars99
    $3.00

    Bought 6.382977 Michael Geerts for Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain at 0.47

  • 08:35 AM
    0X0x64EC879f99b7C903fEA07341Dddc4DbD038B931D-1777110361694
    $40.00

    Bought 74.074073 Lucas Poullain for Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain at 0.54

  • 08:21 AM
    DADanshan11
    $11.59

    Bought 16.56 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 08:19 AM
    YOyotweee
    $7.34

    Bought 10.05 Over for Geerts vs. Poullain: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.73

  • 08:16 AM
    MIMikiMuster
    $3.55

    Bought 5 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.71

  • 08:16 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408448 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.71

  • 08:13 AM
    DADanshan11
    $11.59

    Bought 16.56 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 08:11 AM
    HEhephaistus
    $2.50

    Bought 3.521124 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.71

  • 08:11 AM
    DADanshan11
    $5.17

    Bought 7.39 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 08:11 AM
    DADanshan11
    $5.17

    Bought 7.39 Poullain for Set Handicap: Geerts (-1.5) vs Poullain (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 07:55 AM
    MAmallytbi
    $1.08

    Bought 1.58797 Geerts for Set Handicap: Poullain (-1.5) vs Geerts (+1.5) at 0.68

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

KK1
kkookkoo
Event PnL
-$4,003.81
Volume
$11,412.98
Positions
Lucas Poullain
DA2
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6
Event PnL
-$1,479.98
Volume
$7,999.99
Positions
Michael Geerts
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$2,196.11
Volume
$5,601.48
Positions
Michael Geerts
324
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$1.29
Volume
$4,580.46
Positions
Lucas Poullain
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
+$274.11
Volume
$4,303.47
Positions
Michael Geerts
E96
0xe98c…8792
Event PnL
-$411.94
Volume
$2,273.26
Positions
Lucas Poullain
A07
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$2,217.47
Positions
Michael Geerts
078
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
-$236.64
Volume
$2,019.88
Positions
Lucas Poullain

常见问题

当前市场对「Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Total Sets: O/U 2.5(9,995%),以及 Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullain Match O/U 21.5(9,995%)。该市场总成交量已达 $56.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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