Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima

$97.8K Vol
2026年8月28日
Active
概率趋势
Taylor Fritz 63.5%
Brandon Nakashima 36.5%

核心摘要

根据「Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima 以压倒性的 6,350% 获胜概率主导市场;Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner 以 5,950% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner 以 5,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $97.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima (6,350%):Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,350¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $213.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner (5,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner 保持着 5,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,950¢。
  • Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner (5,800%):以 5,800% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 23.5 (5,400%)、Completed Match (5,000%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima6350.0%$213.3K6350¢-6250¢
2Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner5950.0%$7015950¢-5850¢
3Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
4Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 23.55400.0%$585400¢-5300¢
5Completed Match5000.0%$4945000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.55000.0%$1035000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Total Sets: O/U 2.54450.0%$3.6K4450¢-4350¢
14Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 10.54400.0%4400¢-4300¢
15Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.53650.0%$4.5K3650¢-3550¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Brandon Nakashima in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Brandon Nakashima.

This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Taylor Fritz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 21, 2026

  • 09:09 AM
    $19.30

    Sold 53.62 Brandon Nakashima for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.36

  • 08:59 AM
    $22.08

    Bought 48 Over 2.5 for Taylor Fritz vs. Brandon Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.46

  • 08:57 AM
    $4.47

    Bought 9.71 Over 2.5 for Taylor Fritz vs. Brandon Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.46

  • 08:57 AM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $456.74

    Bought 1014.98 Over 2.5 for Taylor Fritz vs. Brandon Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.45

  • 08:42 AM
    $19.84

    Bought 53.62162 Brandon Nakashima for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.37

  • 08:36 AM
    RPrplt-fb
    $19.12

    Bought 51.675674 Brandon Nakashima for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.37

  • 08:27 AM
    AUAurasi
    $85.00

    Bought 229.729728 Brandon Nakashima for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.37

  • 08:25 AM
    BLblazedbunny
    $20.00

    Bought 54.054053 Brandon Nakashima for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.37

  • 08:21 AM
    QUquavoo
    $9.62

    Bought 26 Brandon Nakashima for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.37

  • 08:18 AM
    PApaisa
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Nakashima for Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5) at 0.62

  • 08:17 AM
    QUquavoo
    $16.28

    Bought 44 Brandon Nakashima for Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.37

  • 08:07 AM
    EMemoney
    $250.00

    Bought 555.555554 Over 2.5 for Taylor Fritz vs. Brandon Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.45

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$74.92
Volume
$20,611.52
Positions
Brandon Nakashima
SE2
sentrio
Event PnL
+$1.68
Volume
$9,984.85
Positions
Brandon Nakashima
JA3
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$10.17
Volume
$4,466.44
Positions
Taylor FritzOver 2.5
AN4
ananisto
Event PnL
-$10.71
Volume
$4,000.01
Positions
Taylor Fritz
MO5
mortewfenloin
Event PnL
-$17.86
Volume
$3,571.00
Positions
Taylor Fritz
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$7.73
Volume
$3,081.80
Positions
Under 2.5NakashimaFritz
B97
0xb94c…ae33
Event PnL
-$6.23
Volume
$3,018.40
Positions
Taylor Fritz
GC8
GC-P
Event PnL
-$6.96
Volume
$2,892.13
Positions
Taylor Fritz

常见问题

当前市场对「Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima 以 6,350% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner(5,950%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner(5,800%)。该市场总成交量已达 $97.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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