Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton

$99.8K Vol
2026年8月25日
Active
概率趋势
Jaime Faria 58.5%
Adam Walton 41.5%

核心摘要

根据「Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Match O/U 22.5 以压倒性的 6,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton 以 5,850% 位居第二,Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 2 Winner 以 5,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $99.8K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Match O/U 22.5 (6,000%):Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Match O/U 22.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $34 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton (5,850%):作为最可行的替代选项,Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton 保持着 5,850% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,850¢。
  • Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 2 Winner (5,500%):以 5,500% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 2 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 1 Winner (5,150%)、Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,050%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Match O/U 23.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Completed Match 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Match O/U 22.56000.0%$346000¢-5900¢
2Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton5850.0%$176.9K5850¢-5750¢
3Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 2 Winner5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
4Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 1 Winner5150.0%$2.2K5150¢-5050¢
5Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 9.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
6Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Match O/U 23.55050.0%$2305050¢-4950¢
7Completed Match5000.0%$8325000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Match O/U 21.55000.0%$2315000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%$194950¢-4850¢
14Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set Handicap +/-1.53350.0%$2.2K3350¢-3250¢
15Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Total Sets: O/U 2.52600.0%$32600¢-2500¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Adam Walton in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Adam Walton.

This market will resolve to 'Adam Walton' if Adam Walton advances against Jaime Faria.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 18, 2026

  • 09:09 PM
    PWPwnedUrChoice
    $31.00

    Bought 52.54237 Jaime Faria for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton at 0.59

  • 09:09 PM
    BUButterTheDog
    $72.54

    Bought 122.95 Jaime Faria for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton at 0.59

  • 09:08 PM
    ADAdrianllg45
    $40.00

    Bought 67.796609 Jaime Faria for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton at 0.59

  • 09:07 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.380951 Adam Walton for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton at 0.42

  • 09:07 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.380951 Adam Walton for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton at 0.42

  • 09:07 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $9.30

    Bought 15.762709 Jaime Faria for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton at 0.59

  • 09:07 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.380951 Adam Walton for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton at 0.42

  • 09:07 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.380951 Adam Walton for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton at 0.42

  • 09:07 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.380951 Adam Walton for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton at 0.42

  • 09:07 PM
    $3.00

    Bought 7.142856 Adam Walton for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton at 0.42

  • 09:07 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.380951 Adam Walton for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton at 0.42

  • 09:07 PM
    ZUzusu
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724135 Jaime Faria for Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton at 0.58

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

DO1
DonaldinhoTrumpito
Event PnL
+$0.17
Volume
$24,999.99
Positions
Jaime Faria
FA2
fastball67
Event PnL
-$225.00
Volume
$14,999.97
Positions
Adam Walton
DV3
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$70.72
Volume
$14,147.00
Positions
Jaime Faria
BA4
BaseballBill
Event PnL
+$62.50
Volume
$12,500.00
Positions
Adam Walton
GR5
Greedo
Event PnL
+$36.79
Volume
$12,499.97
Positions
Adam Walton
JT6
jtwyslljy
Event PnL
+$135.00
Volume
$9,000.00
Positions
Jaime Faria
0X7
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$34.39
Volume
$8,620.61
Positions
Jaime Faria
DA8
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$8,000.00
Positions
Adam Walton

常见问题

当前市场对「Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Match O/U 22.5 以 6,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton(5,850%),以及 Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton Set 2 Winner(5,500%)。该市场总成交量已达 $99.8K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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