
US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri
核心摘要
根据「US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $163.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Completed Match (5,000%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Game Spread +/-0.5 (5,000%)、US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%),以及 US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 22.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 10.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | $2 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Game Spread +/-0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | $384 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Set 2 Winner | 4100.0% | $3 | 4100¢ | -4000¢ |
| 9 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 23.5 | 2600.0% | $19 | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 10 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri | 2250.0% | $163.4K | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Dougaz and Andrea Guerrieri in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Andrea Guerrieri.
This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Aziz Dougaz.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 27, 2026
- 09:27 AM——$1.00
Bought 1.81818 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.55
- 09:00 AM——$1.02
Bought 1.821427 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.56
- 09:00 AM——$34.07
Bought 61.945453 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.55
- 09:00 AMNEneutralwave23$14.85
Bought 27 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.55
- 08:41 AM——$77.45
Bought 140.81 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.55
- 08:41 AM——$18.74
Bought 34.072726 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.55
- 08:40 AMRARaiJhin$5.00
Bought 9.090908 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.55
- 08:37 AM——$24.98
Bought 46.259258 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.54
- 07:55 AMMWmwsking$10.00
Bought 21.276594 Andrea Guerrieri for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.47
- 07:49 AMMUMutedCarp8305$5.00
Bought 9.25 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.54
- 07:49 AM——$3.40
Bought 6.296295 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.54
- 07:49 AM——$6.58
Bought 12.185184 Aziz Dougaz for US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri at 0.54
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5(5,000%),以及 US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri Match O/U 21.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $163.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
