National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima

$71.7K Vol
2026年8月18日
Active
概率趋势
Brandon Nakashima 68.5%
Luciano Darderi 31.5%

核心摘要

根据「National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 8,100% 获胜概率主导市场;National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 以 6,050% 位居第二,National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5 以 5,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $71.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,100%):National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,100¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $19 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 (6,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 保持着 6,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,050¢。
  • National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,550%):以 5,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.5 (5,300%)、National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,050%),以及 National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 10.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.58100.0%$198100¢-8000¢
2National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.56050.0%$1446050¢-5950¢
3National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.55550.0%$55550¢-5450¢
4National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.55300.0%$1.4K5300¢-5200¢
5National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
6National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 10.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
8Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 23.54650.0%$134650¢-4550¢
10National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.54300.0%$1734300¢-4200¢
11National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Total Sets: O/U 2.54200.0%$3044200¢-4100¢
12National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner3700.0%3700¢-3600¢
13National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner3650.0%$26.9K3650¢-3550¢
14National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 10.53350.0%$703350¢-3250¢
15National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima3150.0%$42.7K3150¢-3050¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Brandon Nakashima in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Brandon Nakashima.

This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Luciano Darderi.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 10, 2026

  • 08:34 PM
    $21.18

    Bought 66.1875 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:31 PM
    SHShaylevi4
    $20.00

    Bought 62.5 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:28 PM
    $24.79

    Bought 77.46875 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:27 PM
    IAIambull
    $47.04

    Bought 147 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:15 PM
    RDRDLedger
    $35.04

    Bought 50.78 Brandon Nakashima for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.69

  • 08:10 PM
    BAbaileysclub
    $42.71

    Bought 133.48 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:07 PM
    0X0x0d0f5E0245A1aa8eEDe1e56f1C88fF948e0Fc3d9-1776865091892
    $15.00

    Bought 46.875 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:01 PM
    JEjenisto93
    $4.87

    Bought 9.938774 Under for Darderi vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.49

  • 08:01 PM
    $48.83

    Bought 116.261903 Over 2.5 for Luciano Darderi vs. Brandon Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.42

  • 08:00 PM
    $39.76

    Bought 124.25 Luciano Darderi for National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima at 0.32

  • 08:00 PM
    BLBlessedSunshine888
    $10.77

    Bought 20.71 Over for Darderi vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.52

  • 08:00 PM
    $2.54

    Bought 4.884614 Over for Darderi vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.52

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

LO1
lobbb1
Event PnL
-$386.18
Volume
$19,486.23
Positions
Nakashima
ON2
one8tyfive
Event PnL
+$68.78
Volume
$17,304.46
Positions
Luciano Darderi
993
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
-$25.35
Volume
$16,472.63
Positions
DarderiNakashima
FA4
fastball67
Event PnL
+$36.76
Volume
$7,351.07
Positions
Brandon Nakashima
KL5
klnkkn
Event PnL
-$27.58
Volume
$5,517.00
Positions
Brandon Nakashima
IG6
IGBGMN
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Luciano Darderi
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$17.87
Volume
$4,652.79
Positions
DarderiUnder 2.5
CO8
comon119
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Brandon Nakashima

常见问题

当前市场对「National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 8,100% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5(6,050%),以及 National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5(5,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $71.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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