US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud

$55.2K Vol
2026年9月6日
Active
概率趋势
Casper Ruud 61.0%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 39.0%

核心摘要

根据「US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.5 以压倒性的 6,450% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 6,350% 位居第二,US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.5 以 6,100% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $55.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.5 (6,450%):US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,450¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,350%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5 保持着 6,350% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,350¢。
  • US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,100%):以 6,100% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 36.5 (5,450%)、US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,050%),以及 US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Completed Match 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.56450.0%6450¢-6350¢
2US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.56350.0%6350¢-6250¢
3US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.56100.0%$1456100¢-6000¢
4US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 36.55450.0%5450¢-5350¢
5US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-1.55050.0%$1845050¢-4950¢
6US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 10.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
17US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 3 O/U 10.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
18US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 38.54750.0%4750¢-4650¢
19US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Game Spread +/-5.54600.0%4600¢-4500¢
20US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 3 Winner4200.0%4200¢-4100¢
21US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 Winner4150.0%$364150¢-4050¢
22US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 2 Winner4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
23US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud3900.0%$51.0K3900¢-3800¢
24US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 10.53750.0%3750¢-3650¢
25US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 4.53250.0%$3.8K3250¢-3150¢
26US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set Handicap +/-2.52950.0%2950¢-2850¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Casper Ruud in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Casper Ruud.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Aug 29, 2026

  • 08:12 PM
    HEHevWei
    $4.00

    Bought 6.45161 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 08:10 PM
    0X0x8e9c786CCA6677CCe009ad865f8579833CA2efaB-1772993613414
    $1.00

    Bought 1.612902 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 07:14 PM
    QUqueenshaniqua
    $1.06

    Bought 1.709676 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 07:14 PM
    XIxiaolubambi
    $30.00

    Bought 48.387094 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 06:27 PM
    SESecuredFutureKFE
    $32.94

    Bought 54 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.61

  • 06:25 PM
    0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.61

  • 06:24 PM
    SMsmye100
    $5.00

    Bought 8.19672 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.61

  • 06:23 PM
    $1,096.29

    Bought 2884.973683 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.38

  • 06:23 PM
    FOFollower2
    $9.32

    Bought 23.897434 Juan Manuel Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.39

  • 06:00 PM
    $2.89

    Bought 4.59 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.63

  • 05:51 PM
    JAJACCKKP
    $13.45

    Sold 21.7 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.62

  • 05:42 PM
    AMameisgoat11
    $3.15

    Bought 5 Casper Ruud for US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud at 0.63

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

RA1
Rafalcaraz
Event PnL
+$400.95
Volume
$20,440.10
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$5.08
Volume
$13,731.82
Positions
Casper Ruud
453
0x45h0…fef7
Event PnL
+$54.61
Volume
$10,919.31
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$30.49
Volume
$9,025.00
Positions
Casper RuudOver 3.5
075
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$11.41
Volume
$6,546.19
Positions
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
696
0x696A…0594
Event PnL
-$282.12
Volume
$5,642.60
Positions
Casper Ruud
NM7
NM-P
Event PnL
-$44.39
Volume
$4,406.07
Positions
Casper Ruud
GA8
Gaditima
Event PnL
-$100.24
Volume
$4,024.32
Positions
Casper Ruud

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Match O/U 40.5 以 6,450% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Set 1 O/U 8.5(6,350%),以及 US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Total Sets: O/U 3.5(6,100%)。该市场总成交量已达 $55.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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