
Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi
核心摘要
根据「Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 9,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi 以 5% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $58.9K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Completed Match (9,000%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi (5%):作为最可行的替代选项,Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi 保持着 5% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 2 | Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi | 5.0% | $59.0K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez and Rio Noguchi in the Cancun, Mexico, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 6:20PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez' if Luis Carlos Alvarez advances against Rio Noguchi.
This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Aug 18, 2026
- 09:11 PMSGsgtmike$1.00
Bought 1.35135 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.74
- 09:11 PM——$1.18
Bought 1.616437 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.73
- 09:11 PMQUQuanttennis$2.52
Bought 9 Luis Carlos Alvarez for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.28
- 09:11 PMZUzusu$0.01
Bought 0.01 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.71
- 09:11 PMSWswisstony$6.38
Bought 8.985913 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.71
- 09:10 PM——$1.17
Bought 1.602737 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.73
- 09:10 PMBIBillBenter2026$0.01
Bought 0.01 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.69
- 09:10 PMSWswisstony$6.89
Bought 9.985506 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.69
- 09:01 PM——$23.28
Bought 35.82 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.65
- 08:57 PMEFEF717$12.80
Bought 35.555554 Luis Carlos Alvarez for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.36
- 08:56 PMCEceeghann$1.00
Bought 1.53846 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.65
- 08:11 PMMImirnger$5.00
Bought 7.692305 Rio Noguchi for Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi at 0.65
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 9,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $58.9K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
