
Hawthorn Hawks vs. Collingwood Magpies
核心摘要
根据「Hawthorn Hawks vs. Collingwood Magpies」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Hawthorn Hawks 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Collingwood Magpies 以 5,000% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Hawthorn Hawks (5,000%):Hawthorn Hawks 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Collingwood Magpies (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Collingwood Magpies 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hawthorn Hawks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Collingwood Magpies | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the AFL match between Hawthorn Hawks and Collingwood Magpies, scheduled for August 15 at 5:40AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Hawthorn Hawks" if Hawthorn Hawks is officially credited with the match win.
This market will resolve to "Collingwood Magpies" if Collingwood Magpies is officially credited with the match win.
The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
常见问题
当前市场对「Hawthorn Hawks vs. Collingwood Magpies」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Hawthorn Hawks 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Collingwood Magpies(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
